Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Coppa Titano › Tre Fiori v Fiorentino

Back
San Marino flag

Tre Fiori v Fiorentino

Tre Fiori
19:45Upcoming
Fiorentino

Coppa Titano · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Tre FioriDrawFiorentino
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:45
Before kick-off · Match result · Tre Fiori 63%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tre Fiori are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tre Fiori 63%, draw 23%, Fiorentino 14%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Tre Fiori v FiorentinoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Tre Fiori win63%
Draw23%
Fiorentino win14%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 19:45

RoundRound of 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tre Fiori

Fiorentino

5Days since last match4

Last match: 23 Oct · Campionato

Last match: 24 Oct · Campionato

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tre fiori winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:30 · locked at kick-off
63% The market–
Us63%

We make Tre Fiori a 63% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Tre Fiori v Fiorentino1.95 – 0.79
Form · Coppa Titano this season · since 8 SeptW1 D0 L0 · W0 D0 L1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 08:18
Our probability · Tre Fiori win

Published at 62%, 63% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Tre Fiori win63%––
Draw23%––
Fiorentino win14%––
Over 2.5 goals51%––
Both teams to score46%––
Over 1.5 goals75%––
Over 3.5 goals30%––
Tre Fiori or draw86%––
Tre Fiori clean sheet46%––
Fiorentino clean sheet16%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.9%
0123450 8.0 4.6 2.2 1 11.9 10.5 3.9 2 11.9 9.0 3.6 3 7.7 5.8 2.3 4 3.9 2.9 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Tre Fiori down, Fiorentino across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.30
Over 2.54 of 10
Both scored5 of 10
Last meetingsFIO 0–1 TRE · FIO 0–2 TRE · TRE 2–0 FIO · FIO 0–2 TRE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Coppa Titano this season · since 8 Sept

TRE FIORI

W1–0

FIORENTINO

L0–1