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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Coppa Titano › Cosmos v San Giovanni

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Cosmos v San Giovanni

Cosmos
19:45Upcoming
San Giovanni

Coppa Titano · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CosmosDrawSan Giovanni
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:45
Before kick-off · Match result · Cosmos 57%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Cosmos are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Cosmos 57%, draw 27%, San Giovanni 16%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 40%.

The AI’s read on Cosmos v San GiovanniBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Cosmos win57%
Draw27%
San Giovanni win16%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:45

RoundRound of 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Cosmos

San Giovanni

4Days since last match4

Last match: 23 Oct · Campionato

Last match: 23 Oct · Campionato

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cosmos winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off
57% The market–
Us57%

We make Cosmos a 57% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Cosmos v San Giovanni1.62 – 0.72
Form · Coppa Titano this season · since 8 SeptW1 D0 L0 · W0 D0 L1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60% 21 OCT 00:0124 OCT 22:53
Our probability · Cosmos win

Published at 54%, 57% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Cosmos win57%––
Draw27%––
San Giovanni win16%––
Over 2.5 goals41%––
Both teams to score40%––
Over 1.5 goals68%––
Over 3.5 goals21%––
Cosmos or draw84%––
Cosmos clean sheet50%––
San Giovanni clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.9%
0123450 11.4 6.2 2.6 1 14.9 11.5 4.0 2 12.4 8.4 3.1 3 6.8 4.5 4 2.9 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Cosmos down, San Giovanni across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.60
Over 2.55 of 10
Both scored3 of 10
Last meetingsSAN 0–1 COS · COS 1–0 SAN · COS 0–2 SAN · SAN 0–3 COS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Coppa Titano this season · since 8 Sept

COSMOS

W1–0

SAN GIOVANNI

L0–1