Tre Penne v Tre Fiori

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Tre Penne win at 37%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Tre Penne was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 37–30–34
3. 1′KICK-OFF Tre Penne v Tre Fiori
4. 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Tre Penne win 34%)
5. 45′HALF-TIME Tre Penne 0–0 Tre Fiori
6. 46′SECOND HALF Tre Penne 0–0 Tre Fiori
7. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Tre Penne win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
8. 55′We expected about 2.4 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 27–49–25
9. 58′We said Tre Penne at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 0–0 · 25–51–24
10. 60′We said Tre Penne at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–53–23
11. 70′We said Tre Penne at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–63–18
12. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Tre Penne win: 37% at kick-off, 17% now
13. 77′We said Tre Penne at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–73–13
14. 82′We said Tre Penne at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–82–9
15. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Tre Penne win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
16. 90′We said Tre Penne at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
17. FTFULL TIME Tre Penne 0–0 Tre Fiori
18. FTTre Penne 0–0 Tre Fiori · Tre Penne win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.