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San Giovanni v Tre Fiori
Campionato · SAT 10 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Tre Fiori win at 71%.
- 4′Little has changed for our model: Tre Fiori 71% before kick-off, 74% now. 0–0 · 9–17–74
- 4′KICK-OFF San Giovanni v Tre Fiori
- 45′We said Tre Fiori at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 58%. 0–0 · 11–31–58
- 45′HALF-TIME San Giovanni 0–0 Tre Fiori
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Tre Fiori win: 71% at kick-off, 58% now
- 46′SECOND HALF San Giovanni 0–0 Tre Fiori
- 58′We said Tre Fiori at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 11–40–49
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Tre Fiori win: 71% at kick-off, 49% now
- 85′⚽ GOAL · 84' San Giovanni 0–1 Tre Fiori
- FTFULL TIME San Giovanni 0–1 Tre Fiori
- FTSan Giovanni 0–1 Tre Fiori · Tre Fiori win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 14:00
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Tre Fiori a 71% chance to win. The market has them at 75%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.7–2.4.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 75% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Giovanni win | 10% | 8% | +2 |
| Draw | 18% | 16% | +2 |
| Tre Fiori win | 71% | 75% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 64% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 45% | 50% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 84% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 45% | −7 |
| San Giovanni or draw | 29% | 25% | +4 |
| San Giovanni clean sheet | 11% | – | – |
| Tre Fiori clean sheet | 50% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
12 meetings since 2021Form · last six in Campionato
SAN GIOVANNI
TRE FIORI
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Folgore | 5 | +13 | 15 |
| 2 |  Tre Penne | 4 | +7 | 12 |
| 3 |  Virtus | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 4 | Tre Fiori | 4 | +9 | 9 |
| 5 |  La Fiorita | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |  Libertas | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 |  Cosmos | 4 | +5 | 7 |
| 8 |  Domagnano | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 9 |  Fiorentino | 4 | −1 | 4 |
| 10 |  Juvenes / Dogana | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 |  Cailungo | 5 | −2 | 3 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 4 | −6 | 3 |
| 13 |  Murata | 5 | −9 | 3 |
| 14 |  Pennarossa | 5 | −13 | 3 |
| 15 |  San Marino Academy | 4 | −4 | 2 |
| 16 |  Faetano | 4 | −8 | 2 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.