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La Fiorita v Murata
Campionato · FRI 9 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said La Fiorita win at 82%.
- 1′KICK-OFF La Fiorita v Murata
- 2′Much as we predicted: La Fiorita was 82% before kick-off and our model makes it 85% now. 0–0 · 85–11–5
- 45′HALF-TIME La Fiorita 0–0 Murata
- 46′SECOND HALF La Fiorita 0–0 Murata
- 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' La Fiorita 1–0 Murata
- 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' La Fiorita 2–0 Murata
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 92' La Fiorita 3–0 Murata
- FTLa Fiorita 3–0 Murata · La Fiorita win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
FRI 9 OCT · 20:15
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make La Fiorita a 82% chance to win. The market has them at 86%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 3.0–0.6.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 83% to 86% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| La Fiorita win | 82% | 86% | −4 |
| Draw | 13% | 11% | +2 |
| Murata win | 5% | 4% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 73% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 41% | 35% | +6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 88% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47% | 57% | −10 |
| La Fiorita or draw | 95% | 96% | −2 |
| La Fiorita clean sheet | 56% | – | – |
| Murata clean sheet | 7% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
12 meetings since 2021Form · last six in Campionato
LA FIORITA
MURATA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Folgore | 4 | +9 | 12 |
| 2 |  Tre Penne | 4 | +7 | 12 |
| 3 |  Virtus | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 4 |  Tre Fiori | 4 | +9 | 9 |
| 5 |  Cosmos | 4 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |  Domagnano | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 7 | La Fiorita | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 8 |  Libertas | 4 | −1 | 5 |
| 9 |  Fiorentino | 4 | −1 | 4 |
| 10 |  Juvenes / Dogana | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 |  Cailungo | 4 | −1 | 3 |
| 12 | Murata | 4 | −6 | 3 |
| 13 |  San Giovanni | 4 | −6 | 3 |
| 14 |  Pennarossa | 4 | −9 | 3 |
| 15 |  San Marino Academy | 4 | −4 | 2 |
| 16 |  Faetano | 4 | −8 | 2 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.