Home › Football › Campionato › Fiorentino v Cailungo
Back

Fiorentino v Cailungo
Fiorentino
CailungoCampionato · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Fiorentino win at 61%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Fiorentino 61% before kick-off, 60% now. 0–0 · 60–22–17
- 1′KICK-OFF Fiorentino v Cailungo
- 5′A goal for Fiorentino on 5′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 83–11–6
- 5′We said Fiorentino at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 83%. 1–0 · 83–11–6
- 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Fiorentino 1–0 Cailungo
- 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Fiorentino win: 61% at kick-off, 83% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 1–0 · 82–13–5
- 36′Cailungo score on 35′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 51–31–18
- 36′⚽ GOAL · 35' Fiorentino 1–1 Cailungo
- 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Fiorentino win: 61% at kick-off, 51% now
- 41′We said Fiorentino at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–33–18
- 42′Fiorentino find the net on 42′. 2–1. 2–1 · 82–13–4
- 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Fiorentino 2–1 Cailungo
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Fiorentino win: 61% at kick-off, 82% now
- 43′GOAL DISALLOWED · 43' Fiorentino
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Fiorentino win: 61% at kick-off, 49% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Fiorentino 1–1 Cailungo
- 46′SECOND HALF Fiorentino 1–1 Cailungo
- 52′We said Fiorentino at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–39–17
- 52′Cailungo find the net on 52′. 1–2. 1–2 · 16–28–56
- 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Fiorentino 1–2 Cailungo
- 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Fiorentino win: 61% at kick-off, 16% now
- 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Cailungo win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Fiorentino win 44%)
- 53′We said Fiorentino at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 16%. 1–2 · 16–28–56
- 55′GOAL DISALLOWED · 55' Cailungo
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Fiorentino win: 61% at kick-off, 43% now
- 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Cailungo win 56%)
- 67′We said Fiorentino at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–52–14
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Fiorentino win: 61% at kick-off, 31% now
- 72′We said Fiorentino at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–59–12
- 76′We said Fiorentino at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–65–11
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Fiorentino win: 61% at kick-off, 21% now
- 83′We said Fiorentino at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–80–6
- 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Fiorentino win: 61% at kick-off, 11% now
- 87′We said Fiorentino at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–4
- 92′We said Fiorentino at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
- FTFULL TIME Fiorentino 1–1 Cailungo
- FTFiorentino 1–1 Cailungo · Fiorentino win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Fiorentino are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Fiorentino 61%, draw 22%, Cailungo 17%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 54%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Fiorentino win61%
Cailungo win17%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 6
Match timeline
All events
FiorentinoMIN
CailungoEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Fiorentino
Cailungo
Last match: 10 Oct · Campionato
Last match: 9 Oct · Campionato
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Fiorentino a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 53% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentino win | 61% | 53% | +8 |
| Draw | 22% | 25% | −3 |
| Cailungo win | 17% | 22% | −5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 54% | +4 |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 53% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 76% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 33% | +4 |
| Fiorentino or draw | 83% | 78% | +5 |
| Fiorentino clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
| Cailungo clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Campionato this season · since 28 Aug
FIORENTINO
CAILUNGO
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus | 6 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 | Tre Penne | 6 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 | Folgore | 5 | +13 | 15 |
| 4 | Tre Fiori | 6 | +10 | 13 |
| 5 | Cosmos | 6 | +10 | 13 |
| 6 | La Fiorita | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 7 | Libertas | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Fiorentino | 5 | +5 | 7 |
| 9 | Domagnano | 5 | −1 | 6 |
| 10 | San Giovanni | 6 | −7 | 4 |
| 11 | Pennarossa | 6 | −13 | 4 |
| 12 | Juvenes / Dogana | 6 | −2 | 3 |
| 13 | Cailungo | 5 | −2 | 3 |
| 14 | Murata | 5 | −9 | 3 |
| 15 | San Marino Academy | 6 | −13 | 2 |
| 16 | Faetano | 5 | −14 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Virtus
Tre Penne
Folgore
Tre Fiori
Cosmos
La Fiorita
Libertas
Domagnano
San Giovanni
Pennarossa
Juvenes / Dogana
Murata
San Marino Academy
Faetano