Rayon Sports v Musanze prediction · National Soccer League

AI match analysis

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Pitchside prediction · postponed

Rayon Sports are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rayon Sports 51%, draw 29%, Musanze 21%. Over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 38%.

The AI’s read on Rayon Sports v MusanzeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

Rayon Sports win51%

Draw29%

Musanze win21%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 17:30

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rayon Sports

Musanze

8Days since last match6

Last match: 9 Oct · National Soccer League

Last match: 11 Oct · National Soccer League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
15	Musanze	3	−1	3
17	Rayon Sports	2	−1	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rayon sports winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Rayon Sports a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Rayon Sports v Musanze~~1.33 – 0.74

~~Form · National Soccer League this season · since 11 Sept~~W0 D1 L1 · W1 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 1 v 3~~17 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rayon Sports win	51%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Musanze win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	34%	–	–
Both teams to score	38%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	61%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	16%	–	–
Rayon Sports or draw	79%	–	–
Rayon Sports clean sheet	48%	–	–
Musanze clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.6%

0123450 12.8 9.2 3.5 1 16.6 12.5 4.6 2 11.1 8.2 3.0 3 5.0 3.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Rayon Sports down, Musanze across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,293 National Soccer League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: National Soccer League matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Rayon Sports at home: 1.33 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Musanze away: 0.50 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.33 goals for Rayon Sports, 0.74 for Musanze. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~MUS 1–1 RAY · RAY 2–0 MUS · RAY 2–2 MUS · MUS 0–1 RAY

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · National Soccer League this season · since 11 Sept

RAYON SPORTS

DL1–1 · 0–1

MUSANZE

WLL1–0 · 0–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gicumbi	4	+2	9
2	Gorilla	4	+1	7
3	Etincelles	4	0	7
4	Mukura	3	+2	6
5	Sunrise	4	+1	6
6	Marines	3	0	4
7	Amagaju	4	0	4
8	Gasogi United	3	−1	4
9	Police	4	−1	4
10	Kiyovu Sports	4	−1	4
11	AS Kigali	4	−3	4
12	APR	1	+2	3
13	Al Hilal Omdurman	1	+2	3
14	Bugesera	2	+1	3
15	Musanze	3	−1	3
16	Al Merreikh	1	0	1
17	Rayon Sports	2	−1	1
18	Etoile de l'Est	3	−3	1