Kiyovu Sports v Al Hilal Omdurman prediction · National Soccer League

AI match analysis

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Pitchside prediction · postponed

Al Hilal Omdurman are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kiyovu Sports 26%, draw 27%, Al Hilal Omdurman 47%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Kiyovu Sports v Al Hilal OmdurmanBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

Kiyovu Sports win26%

Draw27%

Al Hilal Omdurman win47%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 5

VenueUmuganda Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kiyovu Sports

Al Hilal Omdurman

7Days since last match31

Last match: 10 Oct · National Soccer League

Last match: 16 Sept · National Soccer League

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Kiyovu Sports	4	−1	4
13	Al Hilal Omdurman	1	+2	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al hilal omdurman winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Al Hilal Omdurman a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kiyovu Sports v Al Hilal Omdurman~~1.00 – 1.45

~~Form · National Soccer League this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D1 L2 · W1 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 4 v 3~~10 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kiyovu Sports win	26%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Al Hilal Omdurman win	47%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	44%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	23%	–	–
Kiyovu Sports or draw	53%	–	–
Kiyovu Sports clean sheet	24%	–	–
Al Hilal Omdurman clean sheet	37%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.5%

0123450 9.0 12.4 9.0 4.4 1 8.5 12.5 8.9 4.3 2 4.3 6.2 4.4 2.2 3 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kiyovu Sports down, Al Hilal Omdurman across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,293 National Soccer League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: National Soccer League matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kiyovu Sports at home: 1.33 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Al Hilal Omdurman away: 1.83 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.00 goals for Kiyovu Sports, 1.45 for Al Hilal Omdurman. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~KIY 1–2 ALH · ALH 1–2 KIY

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · National Soccer League this season · since 5 Sept

KIYOVU SPORTS

LLWD0–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 0–0

AL HILAL OMDURMAN

W2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gicumbi	4	+2	9
2	Gorilla	4	+1	7
3	Etincelles	4	0	7
4	Mukura	3	+2	6
5	Sunrise	4	+1	6
6	Marines	3	0	4
7	Amagaju	4	0	4
8	Gasogi United	3	−1	4
9	Police	4	−1	4
10	Kiyovu Sports	4	−1	4
11	AS Kigali	4	−3	4
12	APR	1	+2	3
13	Al Hilal Omdurman	1	+2	3
14	Bugesera	2	+1	3
15	Musanze	3	−1	3
16	Al Merreikh	1	0	1
17	Rayon Sports	2	−1	1
18	Etoile de l'Est	3	−3	1