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Gorilla v Rayon Sports
National Soccer League · FRI 9 OCT · Kigali Pele Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Rayon Sports win at 41%.
- 30′Much as we predicted: Rayon Sports was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 35% now. 0–0 · 25–40–35
- 30′THE CALL SWINGS · 30' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Rayon Sports win 35%)
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Rayon Sports win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Gorilla 0–0 Rayon Sports
- 46′SECOND HALF Gorilla 0–0 Rayon Sports
- 54′⚽ GOAL · 53' Gorilla 1–0 Rayon Sports
- 90′🟥 RED CARD · 98' Gorilla
- FTGorilla 1–0 Rayon Sports · Rayon Sports win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
FRI 9 OCT · 18:00
Venue · Kigali Pele Stadium
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Rayon Sports a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are within 0 points of the market. The model expects 0.9–1.1.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 41% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gorilla win | 28% | 28% | 0 |
| Draw | 31% | 31% | 0 |
| Rayon Sports win | 41% | 41% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% | 36% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 39% | 43% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 59% | 61% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% | 18% | −5 |
| Gorilla or draw | 59% | 59% | 0 |
| Gorilla clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
| Rayon Sports clean sheet | 43% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
10 meetings since 2021Form · last six in National Soccer League
GORILLA
RAYON SPORTS
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gicumbi | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 2 | Etincelles | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 | Amagaju | 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 4 | APR | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 5 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 | Mukura | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 | Marines | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Police | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Gorilla | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Musanze | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Kiyovu Sports | 3 | −1 | 3 |
| 12 | Sunrise | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Rayon Sports | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Al Merreikh | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Etoile de l'Est | 3 | −3 | 1 |
| 16 | AS Kigali | 3 | −4 | 1 |
| 17 | Bugesera | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 18 | Gasogi United | 1 | −2 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.