Gorilla v Amagaju

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Gorilla win at 41%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Gorilla was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–33–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Gorilla v Amagaju
4. 16′Amagaju score on 16′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 13–25–62
5. 16′We said Gorilla at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–1 · 13–25–62
6. 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Gorilla 0–1 Amagaju
7. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 16' Gorilla win: 41% at kick-off, 13% now
8. 16′THE CALL SWINGS · 16' Amagaju win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Gorilla win 38%)
9. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Gorilla win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 1.8 we expected. 0–1 · 10–24–65
11. 34′We said Gorilla at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–66
12. 44′Gorilla find the net on 43′. 1–1. 1–1 · 30–49–21
13. 44′⚽ GOAL · 43' Gorilla 1–1 Amagaju
14. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Gorilla win: 41% at kick-off, 30% now
15. 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Amagaju win 69%)
16. 45′HALF-TIME Gorilla 1–1 Amagaju
17. 46′SECOND HALF Gorilla 1–1 Amagaju
18. 47′We said Gorilla at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–50–20
19. 59′We said Gorilla at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–59–17
20. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Gorilla win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
21. 68′We said Gorilla at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–67–14
22. 73′A goal for Gorilla on 72′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 89–10–1
23. 73′⚽ GOAL · 72' Gorilla 2–1 Amagaju
24. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Gorilla win: 41% at kick-off, 89% now
25. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Gorilla win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 72%)
26. 74′We published Gorilla at 41%. Our model now makes it 89%. 2–1 · 89–10–1
27. 74′That is 3, and we only asked for 1.8 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 89–10–1
28. 75′We published Gorilla at 41%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
29. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Gorilla win: 41% at kick-off, 91% now
30. 83′We published Gorilla at 41%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
31. FTFULL TIME Gorilla 2–1 Amagaju
32. FTGorilla 2–1 Amagaju · Gorilla win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.