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Bugesera v Etincelles
National Soccer League · SAT 10 OCT · Bugesera Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Bugesera win at 44%.
- 4′Much as we predicted: Bugesera was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–29–27
- 4′KICK-OFF Bugesera v Etincelles
- 10′⚽ GOAL · 9' Bugesera 1–0 Etincelles
- 25′9′ and it is 1–0: N. Akpesiri on the scoresheet for Bugesera. 1–0 · 75–18–7
- 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Bugesera win: 44% at kick-off, 75% now
- 33′⚽ GOAL · 32' Bugesera 2–0 Etincelles
- 43′⚽ GOAL · 9' Bugesera 1–0 Etincelles · N. Akpesiri (assist J. Mumbere)
- 45′We published Bugesera at 44%. Our model now makes it 78%. 1–0 · 78–18–5
- 45′HALF-TIME Bugesera 1–0 Etincelles
- 47′SECOND HALF Bugesera 1–0 Etincelles
- 55′Bugesera find the net on 55′. 1–0. 1–0 · 80–17–3
- 58′⚽ GOAL · 55' Bugesera 2–0 Etincelles
- FTFULL TIME Bugesera 2–0 Etincelles
- FTBugesera 2–0 Etincelles · Bugesera win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 14:00
Venue · Bugesera Stadium
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Bugesera a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bugesera win | 44% | – | – |
| Draw | 29% | – | – |
| Etincelles win | 27% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 44% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | – | – |
| Bugesera or draw | 73% | – | – |
| Bugesera clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
| Etincelles clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
10 meetings since 2021Form · last six in National Soccer League
BUGESERA
ETINCELLES
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gicumbi | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 2 | Etincelles | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 |  Gorilla | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Amagaju | 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 5 |  AS Kigali | 4 | −3 | 4 |
| 6 |  APR | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |  Al Hilal Omdurman | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |  Mukura | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Marines | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 |  Police | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 |  Musanze | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |  Kiyovu Sports | 3 | −1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Sunrise | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 |  Al Merreikh | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 |  Rayon Sports | 2 | −1 | 1 |
| 16 |  Etoile de l'Est | 3 | −3 | 1 |
| 17 | Bugesera | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 18 |  Gasogi United | 1 | −2 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.