Al Hilal Omdurman v Etincelles prediction · National Soccer League

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Al Hilal Omdurman are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Hilal Omdurman 70%, draw 19%, Etincelles 11%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Al Hilal Omdurman v EtincellesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · postponed, not graded

Al Hilal Omdurman win70%

Draw19%

Etincelles win11%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 6

VenueAl Hilal Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Hilal Omdurman

Etincelles

5Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · CAF Champions League

Last match: 17 Oct · National Soccer League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Etincelles	5	−4	7
14	Al Hilal Omdurman	1	+2	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al hilal omdurman winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 18 Oct 00:20 · postponed, not graded

70% The market–

Us70%

We make Al Hilal Omdurman a 70% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–0.7, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Al Hilal Omdurman v Etincelles~~2.19 – 0.74

~~Form · National Soccer League this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D0 L0 · W2 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 3 v 7~~14 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Al Hilal Omdurman win

Published at 69%, 70% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Al Hilal Omdurman win	70%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Etincelles win	11%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	56%	–	–
Both teams to score	46%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Al Hilal Omdurman or draw	89%	–	–
Al Hilal Omdurman clean sheet	48%	–	–
Etincelles clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 12.7%

0123450 5.7 3.9 1 11.6 8.8 3.2 2 12.7 9.3 3.4 3 9.2 6.7 2.5 4 5.1 3.7 5 2.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Al Hilal Omdurman down, Etincelles across0–5 goals a side shown (97.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,298 National Soccer League matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: National Soccer League matches have gone over 2.5 in 18.8% of games this season, across 32 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Al Hilal Omdurman at home: 2.00 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Etincelles away: 1.83 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.19 goals for Al Hilal Omdurman, 0.74 for Etincelles. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ETI 2–1 ALH · ALH 2–0 ETI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · National Soccer League this season · since 5 Sept

AL HILAL OMDURMAN

W2–0

ETINCELLES

DWWLL0–0 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 0–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gicumbi	4	+2	9
2	Gorilla	5	+1	8
3	Marines	4	+4	7
4	Amagaju	5	+4	7
5	Mukura	4	+2	7
6	Etincelles	5	−4	7
7	Bugesera	3	+3	6
8	Sunrise	5	−3	6
9	Gasogi United	5	−3	5
10	Police	4	−1	4
11	Kiyovu Sports	4	−1	4
12	AS Kigali	4	−3	4
13	APR	1	+2	3
14	Al Hilal Omdurman	1	+2	3
15	Musanze	3	−1	3
16	Etoile de l'Est	4	−3	2
17	Al Merreikh	1	0	1
18	Rayon Sports	2	−1	1