Spartak Moskva U19 v Dynamo Makhachkala U19

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Spartak Moskva U19 win at 58%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Spartak Moskva U19 58% before kick-off, 58% now. 0–0 · 58–21–21
3. 1′KICK-OFF Spartak Moskva U19 v Dynamo Makhachkala U19
4. 23′Spartak Moskva U19 find the net on 23′. 1–0. 1–0 · 78–14–7
5. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Spartak Moskva U19 1–0 Dynamo Makhachkala U19
6. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Spartak Moskva U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 78% now
7. 24′We said Spartak Moskva U19 at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 1–0 · 78–14–7
8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 1–0 · 78–15–7
9. 31′A goal for Dynamo Makhachkala U19 on 30′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 51–28–21
10. 31′⚽ GOAL · 30' Spartak Moskva U19 1–1 Dynamo Makhachkala U19
11. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Spartak Moskva U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 51% now
12. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Spartak Moskva U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 48% now
13. 44′We said Spartak Moskva U19 at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 46%. 1–1 · 46–33–21
14. 45′HALF-TIME Spartak Moskva U19 1–1 Dynamo Makhachkala U19
15. 46′SECOND HALF Spartak Moskva U19 1–1 Dynamo Makhachkala U19
16. 49′We said Spartak Moskva U19 at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–36–20
17. 58′We said Spartak Moskva U19 at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–42–19
18. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Spartak Moskva U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 38% now
19. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Spartak Moskva U19 win 40%)
20. 63′Dynamo Makhachkala U19 score on 63′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 10–26–64
21. 63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Spartak Moskva U19 1–2 Dynamo Makhachkala U19
22. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Spartak Moskva U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 10% now
23. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Dynamo Makhachkala U19 win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Draw 46%)
24. 64′We said Spartak Moskva U19 at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–26–65
25. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Spartak Moskva U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
26. 75′We said Spartak Moskva U19 at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–21–75
27. 78′Spartak Moskva U19 find the net on 78′. 2–2. 2–2 · 21–67–11
28. 78′We said Spartak Moskva U19 at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 21%. 2–2 · 21–67–11
29. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Spartak Moskva U19 2–2 Dynamo Makhachkala U19
30. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Spartak Moskva U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 21% now
31. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Draw is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Dynamo Makhachkala U19 win 78%)
32. 79′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 20–70–11
33. 80′We said Spartak Moskva U19 at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 2–2 · 18–72–10
34. 83′We said Spartak Moskva U19 at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–79–8
35. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Spartak Moskva U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
36. 93′🟥 RED CARD · 90+3' Dynamo Makhachkala U19
37. 94′Dynamo Makhachkala U19 are down to ten from 90′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 2–2 · 2–96–1
38. FTFULL TIME Spartak Moskva U19 2–2 Dynamo Makhachkala U19
39. FTSpartak Moskva U19 2–2 Dynamo Makhachkala U19 · Spartak Moskva U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.