Rubin Kazan U20 v Spartak Moskva U19

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Spartak Moskva U19 win at 46%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Spartak Moskva U19 46% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 29–25–46
3. 1′KICK-OFF Rubin Kazan U20 v Spartak Moskva U19
4. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Spartak Moskva U19 win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
5. 45′HALF-TIME Rubin Kazan U20 0–0 Spartak Moskva U19
6. 46′SECOND HALF Rubin Kazan U20 0–0 Spartak Moskva U19
7. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Spartak Moskva U19 win 35%)
8. 49′A goal for Rubin Kazan U20 on 49′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 65–24–10
9. 49′We said Spartak Moskva U19 at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 1–0 · 65–24–10
10. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Rubin Kazan U20 1–0 Spartak Moskva U19
11. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Spartak Moskva U19 win: 46% at kick-off, 10% now
12. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Rubin Kazan U20 win is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Draw 24%)
13. 53′We said Spartak Moskva U19 at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 67–24–9
14. 61′Spartak Moskva U19 score on 60′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 21–50–29
15. 61′⚽ GOAL · 60' Rubin Kazan U20 1–1 Spartak Moskva U19
16. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Spartak Moskva U19 win: 46% at kick-off, 29% now
17. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Rubin Kazan U20 win 21%)
18. 62′We said Spartak Moskva U19 at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 21–51–29
19. 63′Rubin Kazan U20 find the net on 63′. 2–1. 2–1 · 72–22–6
20. 63′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 72–22–6
21. 63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Rubin Kazan U20 2–1 Spartak Moskva U19
22. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Spartak Moskva U19 win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
23. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Rubin Kazan U20 win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 22%)
24. 68′We said Spartak Moskva U19 at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 75–20–4
25. 70′A goal for Spartak Moskva U19 on 69′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 17–60–23
26. 70′We said Spartak Moskva U19 at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 2–2 · 17–60–23
27. 70′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 17–60–23
28. 70′⚽ GOAL · 69' Rubin Kazan U20 2–2 Spartak Moskva U19
29. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Spartak Moskva U19 win: 46% at kick-off, 23% now
30. 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Draw is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Rubin Kazan U20 win 17%)
31. 75′We said Spartak Moskva U19 at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 14–67–19
32. 77′Rubin Kazan U20 score on 76′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 83–15–2
33. 77′5 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 83–15–2
34. 77′⚽ GOAL · 76' Rubin Kazan U20 3–2 Spartak Moskva U19
35. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Spartak Moskva U19 win: 46% at kick-off, 2% now
36. 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Rubin Kazan U20 win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Draw 15%)
37. 81′Rubin Kazan U20 find the net on 81′. 4–2. 4–2 · 99–1–0
38. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Rubin Kazan U20 4–2 Spartak Moskva U19
39. 82′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 99–1–0
40. 91′Rubin Kazan U20 ahead on 80′ through V. Linyuchev. 4–2. 4–2 · 100–0–0
41. FTFULL TIME Rubin Kazan U20 4–2 Spartak Moskva U19
42. FTRubin Kazan U20 4–2 Spartak Moskva U19 · Spartak Moskva U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.