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Krasnodar U19 v Nizhny Novgorod U19
Krasnodar U19
Nizhny Novgorod U19Youth Championship · FRI 16 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Krasnodar U19 win at 84%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Krasnodar U19 84% before kick-off, 84% now. 0–0 · 84–10–6
- 1′KICK-OFF Krasnodar U19 v Nizhny Novgorod U19
- 22′Krasnodar U19 score on 22′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 92–6–2
- 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Krasnodar U19 1–0 Nizhny Novgorod U19
- 45′HALF-TIME Krasnodar U19 1–0 Nizhny Novgorod U19
- 46′SECOND HALF Krasnodar U19 1–0 Nizhny Novgorod U19
- 66′PENALTY MISSED · 66' Nizhny Novgorod U19
- 70′Krasnodar U19 find the net on 70′. 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 70′We said Krasnodar U19 at 84% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Krasnodar U19 2–0 Nizhny Novgorod U19
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Krasnodar U19 win: 84% at kick-off, 99% now
- 78′We said Krasnodar U19 at 84% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 78′A goal for Krasnodar U19 on 78′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Krasnodar U19 3–0 Nizhny Novgorod U19
- 82′Krasnodar U19 score on 82′ to make it 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Krasnodar U19 4–0 Nizhny Novgorod U19
- 83′The goal count is tracking the 4.5 we expected. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 89′Krasnodar U19 find the net on 89′. 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
- 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Krasnodar U19 5–0 Nizhny Novgorod U19
- 90′5 goals already, more than the 4.5 we expected for the whole match. 5–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Krasnodar U19 5–0 Nizhny Novgorod U19
- FTKrasnodar U19 5–0 Nizhny Novgorod U19 · Krasnodar U19 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 3–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassKrasnodar U19 are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Krasnodar U19 84%, draw 10%, Nizhny Novgorod U19 6%. Over 2.5 goals 82%, both teams to score 59%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Krasnodar U19 win84%
Nizhny Novgorod U19 win6%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 13:00
RoundMatchday 26
Match timeline
All events
Krasnodar U19MIN
Nizhny Novgorod U19Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Krasnodar U19
Nizhny Novgorod U19
Last match: 9 Oct · Youth Championship
Last match: 9 Oct · Youth Championship
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Krasnodar U19 an 84% chance to win. The market has them at 81%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 3.6–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 81% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Krasnodar U19 win | 84% | 81% | +3 |
| Draw | 10% | 12% | −2 |
| Nizhny Novgorod U19 win | 6% | 7% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 82% | 79% | +3 |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 58% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94% | 88% | +6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 66% | 64% | +2 |
| Krasnodar U19 or draw | 94% | 93% | +1 |
| Krasnodar U19 clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
| Nizhny Novgorod U19 clean sheet | 3% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Youth Championship this season · since 21 Aug
KRASNODAR U19
NIZHNY NOVGOROD U19
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moskva U19 | 25 | +46 | 59 |
| 2 | Zenit U19 | 25 | +38 | 54 |
| 3 | Krasnodar U19 | 25 | +33 | 53 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow U19 | 25 | +32 | 51 |
| 5 | Lokomotiv Moskva U19 | 26 | +22 | 50 |
| 6 | Akademiya Konoplev U20 | 25 | +12 | 44 |
| 7 | Almaz Antey U19 | 25 | −2 | 41 |
| 8 | Spartak Moskva U19 | 25 | −4 | 31 |
| 9 | Rostov U19 | 25 | −7 | 31 |
| 10 | Dinamo Moskva U19 | 25 | −8 | 29 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala U19 | 25 | −23 | 27 |
| 12 | Ural U20 | 26 | −23 | 25 |
| 13 | Chertanovo U20 | 25 | −23 | 23 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod U19 | 25 | −34 | 22 |
| 15 | Fakel U19 | 25 | −25 | 16 |
| 16 | Rubin Kazan U20 | 25 | −34 | 15 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
CSKA Moskva U19
Zenit U19
Rodina Moscow U19
Lokomotiv Moskva U19
Akademiya Konoplev U20
Almaz Antey U19
Spartak Moskva U19
Rostov U19
Dinamo Moskva U19
Dynamo Makhachkala U19
Ural U20
Chertanovo U20
Fakel U19
Rubin Kazan U20