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Krasnodar U19 v Nizhny Novgorod U19

Krasnodar U19
5–0Full time
Nizhny Novgorod U19

Youth Championship · FRI 16 OCT

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 15:31
Krasnodar U19 5–0 Nizhny Novgorod U19 KRASNODAR U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT3–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Krasnodar U19 win84%
The market said81%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.039
The market’s Brier score0.053

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 11 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Krasnodar U19 win at 84%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Krasnodar U19 84% before kick-off, 84% now. 0–0 · 84–10–6
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Krasnodar U19 v Nizhny Novgorod U19
  4. 22′Krasnodar U19 score on 22′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 92–6–2
  5. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Krasnodar U19 1–0 Nizhny Novgorod U19
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Krasnodar U19 1–0 Nizhny Novgorod U19
  7. 46′SECOND HALF Krasnodar U19 1–0 Nizhny Novgorod U19
  8. 66′PENALTY MISSED · 66' Nizhny Novgorod U19
  9. 70′Krasnodar U19 find the net on 70′. 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
  10. 70′We said Krasnodar U19 at 84% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
  11. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Krasnodar U19 2–0 Nizhny Novgorod U19
  12. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Krasnodar U19 win: 84% at kick-off, 99% now
  13. 78′We said Krasnodar U19 at 84% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  14. 78′A goal for Krasnodar U19 on 78′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  15. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Krasnodar U19 3–0 Nizhny Novgorod U19
  16. 82′Krasnodar U19 score on 82′ to make it 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  17. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Krasnodar U19 4–0 Nizhny Novgorod U19
  18. 83′The goal count is tracking the 4.5 we expected. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  19. 89′Krasnodar U19 find the net on 89′. 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
  20. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Krasnodar U19 5–0 Nizhny Novgorod U19
  21. 90′5 goals already, more than the 4.5 we expected for the whole match. 5–0 · 100–0–0
  22. FTFULL TIME Krasnodar U19 5–0 Nizhny Novgorod U19
  23. FTKrasnodar U19 5–0 Nizhny Novgorod U19 · Krasnodar U19 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 3–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Krasnodar U19 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Krasnodar U19 84%, draw 10%, Nizhny Novgorod U19 6%. Over 2.5 goals 82%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Krasnodar U19 v Nizhny Novgorod U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Krasnodar U19 win84%
Draw10%
Nizhny Novgorod U19 win6%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 26

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Krasnodar U19

Nizhny Novgorod U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · Youth Championship

Last match: 9 Oct · Youth Championship

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Krasnodar U1925+3353
14Nizhny Novgorod U1925−3422

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · krasnodar u19 winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
84% The market81%
Us84%
Market81%

We make Krasnodar U19 an 84% chance to win. The market has them at 81%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 3.6–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Krasnodar U19 v Nizhny Novgorod U193.58 – 0.96
Form · last six in Youth Championship this season · since 21 AugW3 D1 L2 · W2 D1 L3
Table places · points 53 v 223 v 14
The market · Krasnodar U19 win81% · ours 84%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
80%85% 10 OCT 03:5816 OCT 12:47
Our probability · Krasnodar U19 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 81% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Krasnodar U19 win84%81%+3
Draw10%12%−2
Nizhny Novgorod U19 win6%7%−1
Over 2.5 goals82%79%+3
Both teams to score59%58%+1
Over 1.5 goals94%88%+6
Over 3.5 goals66%64%+2
Krasnodar U19 or draw94%93%+1
Krasnodar U19 clean sheet39%––
Nizhny Novgorod U19 clean sheet3%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–0 at 8.0%
0123450 1 4.1 3.8 2 6.9 6.6 3.2 3 8.0 7.6 3.7 4 7.1 6.7 3.2 5 5.1 4.8 2.3
under 2% 5% 12%+Krasnodar U19 down, Nizhny Novgorod U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (84.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.54 of 6
Both scored1 of 6
Last meetingsNIZ 2–9 KRA · KRA 2–0 NIZ · NIZ 0–3 KRA · NIZ 1–0 KRA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Youth Championship this season · since 21 Aug

KRASNODAR U19

WLDWWL4–0 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 3–0 · 4–2 · 2–5

NIZHNY NOVGOROD U19

LDLWLW0–3 · 0–0 · 1–5 · 4–3 · 1–2 · 2–1

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1CSKA Moskva U1925+4659
2Zenit U1925+3854
3Krasnodar U1925+3353
4Rodina Moscow U1925+3251
5Lokomotiv Moskva U1926+2250
6Akademiya Konoplev U2025+1244
7Almaz Antey U1925−241
8Spartak Moskva U1925−431
9Rostov U1925−731
10Dinamo Moskva U1925−829
11Dynamo Makhachkala U1925−2327
12Ural U2026−2325
13Chertanovo U2025−2323
14Nizhny Novgorod U1925−3422
15Fakel U1925−2516
16Rubin Kazan U2025−3415

The competition's standings before kick-off.