Home › Football › Youth Championship › Dinamo Moskva U19 v Rodina Moscow U19

Dinamo Moskva U19 v Rodina Moscow U19

Dinamo Moskva U19

2–3Full time

Rodina Moscow U19

Youth Championship · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 19:31

Dinamo Moskva U19 2–3 Rodina Moscow U19 RODINA MOSCOW U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Rodina Moscow U19 win~~52%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.350

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay0 notes · 5 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Rodina Moscow U19 win at 52%.
71′⚽ GOAL · 58' Dinamo Moskva U19 0–3 Rodina Moscow U19 · A. Solovyov
71′⚽ GOAL · 63' Dinamo Moskva U19 0–3 Rodina Moscow U19 · A. Kriulsky
71′SECOND HALF Dinamo Moskva U19 0–3 Rodina Moscow U19
83′⚽ GOAL · 82' Dinamo Moskva U19 1–3 Rodina Moscow U19
85′⚽ GOAL · 84' Dinamo Moskva U19 2–3 Rodina Moscow U19
FTDinamo Moskva U19 2–3 Rodina Moscow U19 · Rodina Moscow U19 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Dinamo Moskva U19 win28%

Draw20%

Rodina Moscow U19 win52%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 17:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rodina moscow u19 winPublished 9 Oct 17:06

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Rodina Moscow U19 a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–2.2, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dinamo Moskva U19 win	28%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Rodina Moscow U19 win	52%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	72%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	52%	–	–
Dinamo Moskva U19 or draw	48%	–	–
Dinamo Moskva U19 clean sheet	12%	–	–
Rodina Moscow U19 clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.5%

0123450 2.5 5.2 5.6 4.1 2.3 1 3.8 8.0 8.5 6.2 3.5 2 2.9 6.2 6.6 4.8 2.7 3 3.3 3.5 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dinamo Moskva U19 down, Rodina Moscow U19 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,466 Youth Championship matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Youth Championship matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.9% of games this season, across 192 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dinamo Moskva U19 at home: 2.17 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Rodina Moscow U19 away: 2.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.57 goals for Dinamo Moskva U19, 2.20 for Rodina Moscow U19. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~ROD 2–0 DIN

Form · last six in Youth Championship

DINAMO MOSKVA U19

LWLWLL3–4 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 2–4 · 2–4

RODINA MOSCOW U19

WWLWLW1–0 · 8–0 · 1–3 · 6–1 · 2–3 · 2–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CSKA Moskva U19	24	+44	56
2	Krasnodar U19	24	+36	53
3	Zenit U19	24	+36	51
4	Rodina Moscow U19	24	+31	48
5	Lokomotiv Moskva U19	24	+22	47
6	Akademiya Konoplev U20	24	+14	44
7	Almaz Antey U19	24	−5	38
8	Spartak Moskva U19	24	−3	31
9	Rostov U19	24	−6	31
10	Dinamo Moskva U19	24	−8	29
11	Dynamo Makhachkala U19	24	−23	24
12	Chertanovo U20	24	−22	23
13	Ural U20	24	−22	22
14	Nizhny Novgorod U19	24	−35	19
15	Rubin Kazan U20	24	−33	15
16	Fakel U19	24	−26	13