Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Youth Championship › Dinamo Moskva U19 v Krasnodar U19

Back
Russia flag

Dinamo Moskva U19 v Krasnodar U19

Dinamo Moskva U19
2–2Full time
Krasnodar U19

Youth Championship · FRI 23 OCT

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 19:31
Dinamo Moskva U19 2–2 Krasnodar U19 KRASNODAR U19 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Krasnodar U19 win58%
The market said48%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.051
The market’s Brier score0.873

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 18 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Krasnodar U19 win at 58%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Krasnodar U19 58% before kick-off, 57% now. 0–0 · 24–19–57
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Dinamo Moskva U19 v Krasnodar U19
  4. 3′Krasnodar U19 score on 3′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 11–13–76
  5. 3′We said Krasnodar U19 at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 0–1 · 11–13–76
  6. 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Dinamo Moskva U19 0–1 Krasnodar U19
  7. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 3' Krasnodar U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 76% now
  8. 12′Dinamo Moskva U19 find the net on 12′. 1–1. 1–1 · 24–20–55
  9. 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Dinamo Moskva U19 1–1 Krasnodar U19
  10. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Krasnodar U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 55% now
  11. 36′The goal count is tracking the 4.0 we expected. 1–1 · 24–26–50
  12. 38′A goal for Dinamo Moskva U19 on 38′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 51–25–25
  13. 38′We said Krasnodar U19 at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 2–1 · 51–25–25
  14. 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Dinamo Moskva U19 2–1 Krasnodar U19
  15. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Krasnodar U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 25% now
  16. 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Dinamo Moskva U19 win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Krasnodar U19 win 49%)
  17. 39′We said Krasnodar U19 at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–1 · 51–25–24
  18. 45′HALF-TIME Dinamo Moskva U19 2–1 Krasnodar U19
  19. 46′SECOND HALF Dinamo Moskva U19 2–1 Krasnodar U19
  20. 50′We said Krasnodar U19 at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–1 · 55–26–19
  21. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Krasnodar U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 18% now
  22. 59′We said Krasnodar U19 at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–1 · 59–26–14
  23. 68′We said Krasnodar U19 at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–1 · 66–25–9
  24. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Krasnodar U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
  25. 74′Krasnodar U19 score on 74′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 16–55–29
  26. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Dinamo Moskva U19 2–2 Krasnodar U19
  27. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Krasnodar U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 29% now
  28. 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Draw is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Dinamo Moskva U19 win 71%)
  29. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Krasnodar U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 17% now
  30. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Krasnodar U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
  31. 93′We said Krasnodar U19 at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 2–94–4
  32. FTFULL TIME Dinamo Moskva U19 2–2 Krasnodar U19
  33. FTDinamo Moskva U19 2–2 Krasnodar U19 · Krasnodar U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Krasnodar U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dinamo Moskva U19 24%, draw 19%, Krasnodar U19 58%. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 71%.

The AI’s read on Dinamo Moskva U19 v Krasnodar U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Dinamo Moskva U19 win24%
Draw19%
Krasnodar U19 win58%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 27

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dinamo Moskva U19

Krasnodar U19

7Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · Youth Championship

Last match: 16 Oct · Youth Championship

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Krasnodar U1926+3856
10Dinamo Moskva U1926−830

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · krasnodar u19 winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
58% The market48%
Us58%
Market48%

We make Krasnodar U19 a 58% chance to win. The market has them at 48%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–2.5.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Dinamo Moskva U19 v Krasnodar U191.55 – 2.48
Form · last six in Youth Championship this season · since 28 AugW1 D1 L4 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 30 v 5610 v 3
The market · Krasnodar U19 win48% · ours 58%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60% 17 OCT 00:0123 OCT 16:45
Our probability · Krasnodar U19 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 48% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Dinamo Moskva U19 win24%28%−4
Draw19%25%−6
Krasnodar U19 win58%48%+10
Over 2.5 goals76%74%+2
Both teams to score71%74%−3
Over 1.5 goals91%88%+3
Over 3.5 goals57%57%0
Dinamo Moskva U19 or draw42%52%−10
Dinamo Moskva U19 clean sheet9%––
Krasnodar U19 clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.3%
0123450 4.6 5.5 4.4 2.8 1 3.0 6.9 8.3 6.7 4.2 2.12 2.3 5.3 6.4 5.2 3.2 3 2.8 3.3 2.7 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Dinamo Moskva U19 down, Krasnodar U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (94.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.38
Over 2.53 of 8
Both scored5 of 8
Last meetingsKRA 2–0 DIN · DIN 2–0 KRA · KRA 1–1 DIN · KRA 3–1 DIN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Youth Championship this season · since 28 Aug

DINAMO MOSKVA U19

LWLLLD1–2 · 1–0 · 2–4 · 2–4 · 2–3 · 2–2

KRASNODAR U19

LDWWLW1–2 · 0–0 · 3–0 · 4–2 · 2–5 · 5–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1CSKA Moskva U1927+5365
2Zenit U1927+4560
3Krasnodar U1926+3856
4Rodina Moscow U1927+3254
5Lokomotiv Moskva U1927+2050
6Akademiya Konoplev U2027+1247
7Almaz Antey U1927−544
8Spartak Moskva U1927−632
9Rostov U1927−932
10Dinamo Moskva U1926−830
11Dynamo Makhachkala U1927−2428
12Chertanovo U2027−2526
13Ural U2027−2625
14Nizhny Novgorod U1927−4022
15Rubin Kazan U2027−3021
16Fakel U1927−2719

The competition's standings before kick-off.