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Dinamo Moskva U19 v Krasnodar U19
Dinamo Moskva U19
Krasnodar U19Youth Championship · FRI 23 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Krasnodar U19 win at 58%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Krasnodar U19 58% before kick-off, 57% now. 0–0 · 24–19–57
- 1′KICK-OFF Dinamo Moskva U19 v Krasnodar U19
- 3′Krasnodar U19 score on 3′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 11–13–76
- 3′We said Krasnodar U19 at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 0–1 · 11–13–76
- 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Dinamo Moskva U19 0–1 Krasnodar U19
- 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 3' Krasnodar U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 76% now
- 12′Dinamo Moskva U19 find the net on 12′. 1–1. 1–1 · 24–20–55
- 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Dinamo Moskva U19 1–1 Krasnodar U19
- 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Krasnodar U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 55% now
- 36′The goal count is tracking the 4.0 we expected. 1–1 · 24–26–50
- 38′A goal for Dinamo Moskva U19 on 38′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 51–25–25
- 38′We said Krasnodar U19 at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 2–1 · 51–25–25
- 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Dinamo Moskva U19 2–1 Krasnodar U19
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Krasnodar U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 25% now
- 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Dinamo Moskva U19 win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Krasnodar U19 win 49%)
- 39′We said Krasnodar U19 at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–1 · 51–25–24
- 45′HALF-TIME Dinamo Moskva U19 2–1 Krasnodar U19
- 46′SECOND HALF Dinamo Moskva U19 2–1 Krasnodar U19
- 50′We said Krasnodar U19 at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–1 · 55–26–19
- 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Krasnodar U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 18% now
- 59′We said Krasnodar U19 at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–1 · 59–26–14
- 68′We said Krasnodar U19 at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–1 · 66–25–9
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Krasnodar U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
- 74′Krasnodar U19 score on 74′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 16–55–29
- 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Dinamo Moskva U19 2–2 Krasnodar U19
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Krasnodar U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 29% now
- 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Draw is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Dinamo Moskva U19 win 71%)
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Krasnodar U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 17% now
- 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Krasnodar U19 win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
- 93′We said Krasnodar U19 at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 2–94–4
- FTFULL TIME Dinamo Moskva U19 2–2 Krasnodar U19
- FTDinamo Moskva U19 2–2 Krasnodar U19 · Krasnodar U19 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Krasnodar U19 are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Dinamo Moskva U19 24%, draw 19%, Krasnodar U19 58%. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 71%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Dinamo Moskva U19 win24%
Krasnodar U19 win58%Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 17:00
RoundMatchday 27
Match timeline
All events
Dinamo Moskva U19MIN
Krasnodar U19Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Dinamo Moskva U19
Krasnodar U19
Last match: 16 Oct · Youth Championship
Last match: 16 Oct · Youth Championship
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Krasnodar U19 a 58% chance to win. The market has them at 48%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–2.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 48% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Moskva U19 win | 24% | 28% | −4 |
| Draw | 19% | 25% | −6 |
| Krasnodar U19 win | 58% | 48% | +10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76% | 74% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 71% | 74% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91% | 88% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 57% | 57% | 0 |
| Dinamo Moskva U19 or draw | 42% | 52% | −10 |
| Dinamo Moskva U19 clean sheet | 9% | – | – |
| Krasnodar U19 clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Youth Championship this season · since 28 Aug
DINAMO MOSKVA U19
KRASNODAR U19
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moskva U19 | 27 | +53 | 65 |
| 2 | Zenit U19 | 27 | +45 | 60 |
| 3 | Krasnodar U19 | 26 | +38 | 56 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow U19 | 27 | +32 | 54 |
| 5 | Lokomotiv Moskva U19 | 27 | +20 | 50 |
| 6 | Akademiya Konoplev U20 | 27 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 | Almaz Antey U19 | 27 | −5 | 44 |
| 8 | Spartak Moskva U19 | 27 | −6 | 32 |
| 9 | Rostov U19 | 27 | −9 | 32 |
| 10 | Dinamo Moskva U19 | 26 | −8 | 30 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala U19 | 27 | −24 | 28 |
| 12 | Chertanovo U20 | 27 | −25 | 26 |
| 13 | Ural U20 | 27 | −26 | 25 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod U19 | 27 | −40 | 22 |
| 15 | Rubin Kazan U20 | 27 | −30 | 21 |
| 16 | Fakel U19 | 27 | −27 | 19 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
CSKA Moskva U19
Zenit U19
Rodina Moscow U19
Lokomotiv Moskva U19
Akademiya Konoplev U20
Almaz Antey U19
Spartak Moskva U19
Rostov U19
Dynamo Makhachkala U19
Chertanovo U20
Ural U20
Nizhny Novgorod U19
Rubin Kazan U20
Fakel U19