Lokomotiv Moskva W v Dinamo Moskva W prediction · Supreme Division Women

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 14:08

Lokomotiv Moskva W 1–1 Dinamo Moskva W LOKOMOTIV MOSKVA W WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Lokomotiv Moskva W win~~55%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.869

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Lokomotiv Moskva W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Lokomotiv Moskva W 55%, draw 27%, Dinamo Moskva W 19%. Over 2.5 goals 37%, both teams to score 38%.

The AI’s read on Lokomotiv Moskva W v Dinamo Moskva WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Lokomotiv Moskva W win55%

Draw27%

Dinamo Moskva W win19%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 22

VenueSapsan Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Lokomotiv Moskva W

Dinamo Moskva W

15Days since last match15

Last match: 3 Oct · Supreme Division Women

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Lokomotiv Moskva W	19	+26	40
6	Dinamo Moskva W	19	+3	31

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lokomotiv moskva w winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

55% The market–

Us55%

We make Lokomotiv Moskva W a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Lokomotiv Moskva W v Dinamo Moskva W~~1.46 – 0.72

~~Form · last six in Supreme Division Women this season · since 8 Aug~~W5 D1 L0 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 40 v 31~~4 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Lokomotiv Moskva W win	55%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Dinamo Moskva W win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	37%	–	–
Both teams to score	38%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	63%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	18%	–	–
Lokomotiv Moskva W or draw	81%	–	–
Lokomotiv Moskva W clean sheet	50%	–	–
Dinamo Moskva W clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.6%

0123450 12.0 8.2 3.0 1 16.6 11.4 4.2 2 11.9 8.2 3.0 3 5.9 4.1 4 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Lokomotiv Moskva W down, Dinamo Moskva W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 852 Supreme Division Women matches up to 3 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Supreme Division Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.6% of games this season, across 126 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2023 in every competition we cover, 2.88 goals a meeting; 4 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Lokomotiv Moskva W at home: 2.00 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Dinamo Moskva W away: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.46 goals for Lokomotiv Moskva W, 0.72 for Dinamo Moskva W. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~2.88

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 8

~~Both scored~~3 of 8

~~Last meetings~~DIN 0–1 LOK · DIN 4–1 LOK · LOK 0–1 DIN · LOK 3–1 DIN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Supreme Division Women this season · since 8 Aug

LOKOMOTIV MOSKVA W

WWWWDW1–0 · 2–1 · 4–0 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 2–0

DINAMO MOSKVA W

WWWWLW5–0 · 3–2 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 0–3 · 1–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Zenit W	19	+47	53
2	CSKA Moskva W	19	+42	49
3	Spartak Moskva W	19	+32	43
4	Lokomotiv Moskva W	19	+26	40
5	Krylya Sovetov W	19	+5	32
6	Dinamo Moskva W	19	+3	31
7	Chertanovo W	20	−11	24
8	Rubin Kazan W	20	−4	23
9	Zvezda Perm W	21	−20	20
10	Krasnodar W	19	−14	14
11	Rostov W	20	−38	13
12	Ryazan W	20	−30	9
13	Yenisey W	20	−38	3