Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Supreme Division Women › Krylya Sovetov W v Zenit W

Back
Russia flag

Krylya Sovetov W v Zenit W

Krylya Sovetov W
0–1Full time
Zenit W

Supreme Division Women · SAT 24 OCT · Metallurg Stadium

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:04
Krylya Sovetov W 0–1 Zenit W ZENIT W WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Zenit W win69%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.145

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 20 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Zenit W win at 69%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Zenit W 69% before kick-off, 69% now. 0–0 · 10–21–69
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Krylya Sovetov W v Zenit W
  4. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Zenit W win: 69% at kick-off, 59% now
  5. 35′We said Zenit W at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 57%. 0–0 · 11–32–57
  6. 41′We said Zenit W at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 10–36–54
  7. 45′HALF-TIME Krylya Sovetov W 0–0 Zenit W
  8. 46′SECOND HALF Krylya Sovetov W 0–0 Zenit W
  9. 49′We said Zenit W at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 10–41–49
  10. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Zenit W win: 69% at kick-off, 49% now
  11. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.4 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 10–45–45
  12. 56′We said Zenit W at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 10–46–44
  13. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Zenit W win 46%)
  14. 62′We said Zenit W at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 9–52–39
  15. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Zenit W win: 69% at kick-off, 39% now
  16. 67′We said Zenit W at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 8–58–34
  17. 72′We said Zenit W at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 7–64–29
  18. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Zenit W win: 69% at kick-off, 29% now
  19. 76′We said Zenit W at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 6–70–24
  20. 79′We said Zenit W at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 5–76–19
  21. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Zenit W win: 69% at kick-off, 19% now
  22. 83′We said Zenit W at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 3–83–13
  23. 87′We said Zenit W at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 2–89–9
  24. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Zenit W win: 69% at kick-off, 9% now
  25. 88′A goal for Zenit W on 88′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 0–2–98
  26. 88′We said Zenit W at 69% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 0–1 · 0–2–98
  27. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Krylya Sovetov W 0–1 Zenit W
  28. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Zenit W win: 69% at kick-off, 98% now
  29. 88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' Zenit W win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 89%)
  30. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Krylya Sovetov W · On: V. Solodukhina · Off: A. Peshkova
  31. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Krylya Sovetov W · On: S. Shishkina · Off: T. Morina
  32. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Zenit W · On: Z. Sharifova · Off: A. Andreeva
  33. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Zenit W · On: Kiki · Off: A. Pozdeeva
  34. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Zenit W win: 69% at kick-off, 99% now
  35. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Zenit W · On: E. Lazareva · Off: E. Pantyukhina
  36. FTFULL TIME Krylya Sovetov W 0–1 Zenit W
  37. FTKrylya Sovetov W 0–1 Zenit W · Zenit W win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Zenit W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Krylya Sovetov W 10%, draw 21%, Zenit W 69%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 34%.

The AI’s read on Krylya Sovetov W v Zenit WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Krylya Sovetov W win10%
Draw21%
Zenit W win69%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 23

VenueMetallurg Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Krylya Sovetov W

Zenit W

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Supreme Division Women

Last match: 18 Oct · Supreme Division Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Zenit W20+4653
6Krylya Sovetov W20+432

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zenit w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:17 · locked at kick-off
69% The market–
Us69%

We make Zenit W a 69% chance to win. The model expects 0.5–1.9, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Krylya Sovetov W v Zenit W0.53 – 1.89
Form · last six in Supreme Division Women this season · since 8 AugW2 D2 L2 · W5 D0 L1
Table places · points 32 v 536 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
65%70%75% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 10:46
Our probability · Zenit W win

Published at 71%, 69% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Krylya Sovetov W win10%––
Draw21%––
Zenit W win69%––
Over 2.5 goals43%––
Both teams to score34%––
Over 1.5 goals69%––
Over 3.5 goals23%––
Krylya Sovetov W or draw31%––
Krylya Sovetov W clean sheet16%––
Zenit W clean sheet59%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 17.0%
0123450 9.5 17.0 15.5 9.8 4.8 1 4.9 8.5 7.9 5.0 2.4 2 2.4 2.2 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Krylya Sovetov W down, Zenit W across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2023
Goals a meeting3.43
Over 2.54 of 7
Both scored2 of 7
Last meetingsZEN 5–1 KRY · KRY 0–0 ZEN · ZEN 0–0 KRY · KRY 1–2 ZEN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Supreme Division Women this season · since 8 Aug

KRYLYA SOVETOV W

WLWDDL4–0 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 0–1

ZENIT W

WWWWWL3–0 · 3–0 · 4–0 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 1–2

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Zenit W20+4653
2CSKA Moskva W20+4452
3Spartak Moskva W20+3446
4Lokomotiv Moskva W20+2641
5Dinamo Moskva W20+332
6Krylya Sovetov W20+432
7Chertanovo W21−1027
8Rubin Kazan W21−623
9Zvezda Perm W21−2020
10Krasnodar W20−1317
11Rostov W20−3813
12Ryazan W21−329
13Yenisey W20−383

The competition's standings before kick-off.