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Dinamo Moskva W v CSKA Moskva W

Dinamo Moskva W
1–2Full time
CSKA Moskva W

Supreme Division Women · SAT 24 OCT · UTB Novogorsk-Dynamo

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:04
Dinamo Moskva W 1–2 CSKA Moskva W CSKA MOSKVA W WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said CSKA Moskva W win62%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.225

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay17 notes · 21 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said CSKA Moskva W win at 62%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: CSKA Moskva W was 62% before kick-off and our model makes it 61% now. 0–0 · 15–24–61
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Dinamo Moskva W v CSKA Moskva W
  4. 24′CSKA Moskva W find the net on 24′. 0–1. 0–1 · 3–12–85
  5. 24′We published CSKA Moskva W at 62%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 3–12–85
  6. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Dinamo Moskva W 0–1 CSKA Moskva W
  7. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' CSKA Moskva W win: 62% at kick-off, 85% now
  8. 27′CSKA Moskva W ahead on 25′ through T. Petrova. 0–1. 0–1 · 3–12–85
  9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 0–1 · 3–12–85
  10. 45′HALF-TIME Dinamo Moskva W 0–1 CSKA Moskva W
  11. 46′SECOND HALF Dinamo Moskva W 0–1 CSKA Moskva W
  12. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' CSKA Moskva W · On: M. Achoyan · Off: D. Yakovleva
  13. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' CSKA Moskva W · On: D. Kishmakhova · Off: S. Krajsumovic
  14. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Dinamo Moskva W · On: M. Lyubimova · Off: I. Vuckovic
  15. 51′A goal for Dinamo Moskva W on 50′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 13–44–42
  16. 51′We said CSKA Moskva W at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 42%. 1–1 · 13–44–42
  17. 51′⚽ GOAL · 50' Dinamo Moskva W 1–1 CSKA Moskva W
  18. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' CSKA Moskva W win: 62% at kick-off, 42% now
  19. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was CSKA Moskva W win 86%)
  20. 56′We said CSKA Moskva W at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 13–48–39
  21. 63′We said CSKA Moskva W at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 12–54–34
  22. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' CSKA Moskva W win: 62% at kick-off, 32% now
  23. 69′We said CSKA Moskva W at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 10–61–29
  24. 73′We said CSKA Moskva W at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 9–67–24
  25. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' CSKA Moskva W win: 62% at kick-off, 22% now
  26. 78′We said CSKA Moskva W at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 7–74–19
  27. 82′We said CSKA Moskva W at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 5–82–13
  28. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' CSKA Moskva W win: 62% at kick-off, 12% now
  29. 85′We said CSKA Moskva W at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 4–87–9
  30. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Dinamo Moskva W · On: A. Sas · Off: Z. Belovan
  31. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Dinamo Moskva W · On: B. Icen · Off: K. Komissarova
  32. 89′CSKA Moskva W score on 89′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 0–2–98
  33. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Dinamo Moskva W 1–2 CSKA Moskva W
  34. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' CSKA Moskva W win: 62% at kick-off, 98% now
  35. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' CSKA Moskva W win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 90%)
  36. 90′We published CSKA Moskva W at 62%. Our model now makes it 98%. 1–2 · 0–2–98
  37. 90′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 0–2–98
  38. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Dinamo Moskva W · On: L. Mustafaeva · Off: A. Shlapakova
  39. FTFULL TIME Dinamo Moskva W 1–2 CSKA Moskva W
  40. FTDinamo Moskva W 1–2 CSKA Moskva W · CSKA Moskva W win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

CSKA Moskva W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dinamo Moskva W 15%, draw 24%, CSKA Moskva W 62%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on Dinamo Moskva W v CSKA Moskva WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Dinamo Moskva W win15%
Draw24%
CSKA Moskva W win62%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 23

VenueUTB Novogorsk-Dynamo

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dinamo Moskva W

CSKA Moskva W

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Supreme Division Women

Last match: 18 Oct · Supreme Division Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2CSKA Moskva W20+4452
5Dinamo Moskva W20+332

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cska moskva w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
62% The market–
Us62%

We make CSKA Moskva W a 62% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–1.7, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Dinamo Moskva W v CSKA Moskva W0.67 – 1.69
Form · last six in Supreme Division Women this season · since 9 AugW4 D1 L1 · W5 D0 L1
Table places · points 32 v 525 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 10:46
Our probability · CSKA Moskva W win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Dinamo Moskva W win15%––
Draw24%––
CSKA Moskva W win62%––
Over 2.5 goals42%––
Both teams to score39%––
Over 1.5 goals68%––
Over 3.5 goals22%––
Dinamo Moskva W or draw38%––
Dinamo Moskva W clean sheet19%––
CSKA Moskva W clean sheet52%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 16.1%
0123450 9.9 16.1 13.2 7.5 3.3 1 6.4 10.1 8.5 4.8 2.1 2 2.2 3.6 3.0 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Dinamo Moskva W down, CSKA Moskva W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2023
Goals a meeting2.62
Over 2.55 of 8
Both scored4 of 8
Last meetingsCSK 2–0 DIN · CSK 1–0 DIN · DIN 1–3 CSK · CSK 2–1 DIN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Supreme Division Women this season · since 9 Aug

DINAMO MOSKVA W

WWWLWD3–2 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 0–3 · 1–0 · 1–1

CSKA MOSKVA W

LWWWWW0–1 · 4–1 · 6–0 · 1–0 · 4–0 · 2–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Zenit W20+4653
2CSKA Moskva W20+4452
3Spartak Moskva W20+3446
4Lokomotiv Moskva W20+2641
5Dinamo Moskva W20+332
6Krylya Sovetov W20+432
7Chertanovo W21−1027
8Rubin Kazan W21−623
9Zvezda Perm W21−2020
10Krasnodar W20−1317
11Rostov W20−3813
12Ryazan W21−329
13Yenisey W20−383

The competition's standings before kick-off.