CSKA Moskva W v Ryazan W prediction · Supreme Division Women

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 14:08

CSKA Moskva W 2–0 Ryazan W CSKA MOSKVA W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG3–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said CSKA Moskva W win~~90%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.018

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

CSKA Moskva W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: CSKA Moskva W 90%, draw 8%, Ryazan W 3%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 32%.

The AI’s read on CSKA Moskva W v Ryazan WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

CSKA Moskva W win90%

Draw8%

Ryazan W win3%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 22

VenueStadion Novye Chimki

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

CSKA Moskva W

Ryazan W

29Days since last match15

Last match: 19 Sept · Supreme Division Women

Last match: 3 Oct · Supreme Division Women

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	CSKA Moskva W	19	+42	49
12	Ryazan W	20	−30	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cska moskva w winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

90% The market–

Us90%

We make CSKA Moskva W a 90% chance to win. The model expects 3.4–0.4, and 3–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · CSKA Moskva W v Ryazan W~~3.40 – 0.42

~~Form · last six in Supreme Division Women this season · since 1 Aug~~W5 D0 L1 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 49 v 9~~2 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CSKA Moskva W win	90%	–	–
Draw	8%	–	–
Ryazan W win	3%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	32%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	52%	–	–
CSKA Moskva W or draw	97%	–	–
CSKA Moskva W clean sheet	67%	–	–
Ryazan W clean sheet	4%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–0 at 13.6%

0123450 2.7 1 8.2 3.5 2 12.8 5.3 3 13.6 5.5 4 11.3 4.4 5 7.9 2.9

under 2% 5% 12%+CSKA Moskva W down, Ryazan W across0–5 goals a side shown (85.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 852 Supreme Division Women matches up to 3 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Supreme Division Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.6% of games this season, across 126 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.60 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

CSKA Moskva W at home: 2.33 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Ryazan W away: 0.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.40 goals for CSKA Moskva W, 0.42 for Ryazan W. Most likely score 3–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.60

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~2 of 10

~~Last meetings~~RYA 0–1 CSK · RYA 1–3 CSK · CSK 4–0 RYA · RYA 0–5 CSK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Supreme Division Women this season · since 1 Aug

CSKA MOSKVA W

WLWWWW4–1 · 0–1 · 4–1 · 6–0 · 1–0 · 4–0

RYAZAN W

DLLLLL1–1 · 0–3 · 0–4 · 1–2 · 0–3 · 1–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Zenit W	19	+47	53
2	CSKA Moskva W	19	+42	49
3	Spartak Moskva W	19	+32	43
4	Lokomotiv Moskva W	19	+26	40
5	Krylya Sovetov W	19	+5	32
6	Dinamo Moskva W	19	+3	31
7	Chertanovo W	20	−11	24
8	Rubin Kazan W	20	−4	23
9	Zvezda Perm W	21	−20	20
10	Krasnodar W	19	−14	14
11	Rostov W	20	−38	13
12	Ryazan W	20	−30	9
13	Yenisey W	20	−38	3