CSKA Moskva W v Krasnodar W prediction · Supreme Division Women

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CSKA Moskva WDrawKrasnodar W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · CSKA Moskva W 78%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

CSKA Moskva W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: CSKA Moskva W 78%, draw 16%, Krasnodar W 7%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 31%.

The AI’s read on CSKA Moskva W v Krasnodar WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

CSKA Moskva W win78%

Draw16%

Krasnodar W win7%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 24

VenueStadion Novye Chimki

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

CSKA Moskva W

Krasnodar W

6Days since last match6

Last match: 24 Oct · Supreme Division Women

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	CSKA Moskva W	21	+45	55
10	Krasnodar W	21	−14	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cska moskva w winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

78% The market–

Us78%

We make CSKA Moskva W a 78% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–0.5, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · CSKA Moskva W v Krasnodar W~~2.26 – 0.45

~~Form · last six in Supreme Division Women this season · since 28 Aug~~W6 D0 L0 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 55 v 17~~2 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CSKA Moskva W win	78%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
Krasnodar W win	7%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–
Both teams to score	31%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
CSKA Moskva W or draw	93%	–	–
CSKA Moskva W clean sheet	64%	–	–
Krasnodar W clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 16.5%

0123450 7.2 3.3 1 15.3 6.6 2 16.5 7.2 3 12.3 5.3 4 7.2 3.0 5 3.5

under 2% 5% 12%+CSKA Moskva W down, Krasnodar W across0–5 goals a side shown (96.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 864 Supreme Division Women matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Supreme Division Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 46.4% of games this season, across 138 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.20 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

CSKA Moskva W at home: 2.67 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Krasnodar W away: 0.50 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.26 goals for CSKA Moskva W, 0.45 for Krasnodar W. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.20

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~3 of 10

~~Last meetings~~KRA 0–3 CSK · CSK 0–0 KRA · KRA 1–0 CSK · CSK 0–1 KRA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Supreme Division Women this season · since 28 Aug

CSKA MOSKVA W

WWWWWW4–1 · 6–0 · 1–0 · 4–0 · 2–0 · 2–1

KRASNODAR W

LDDDWL2–3 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 0–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Zenit W	21	+47	56
2	CSKA Moskva W	21	+45	55
3	Spartak Moskva W	20	+34	46
4	Lokomotiv Moskva W	21	+27	44
5	Dinamo Moskva W	21	+2	32
6	Krylya Sovetov W	21	+3	32
7	Chertanovo W	21	−10	27
8	Rubin Kazan W	21	−6	23
9	Zvezda Perm W	21	−20	20
10	Krasnodar W	21	−14	17
11	Rostov W	20	−38	13
12	Ryazan W	22	−30	12
13	Yenisey W	21	−40	3