Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod v KDV

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod win at 41%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–25–34
3. 1′KICK-OFF Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod v KDV
4. 8′Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod score on 8′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 66–18–15
5. 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 1–0 KDV
6. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod win: 41% at kick-off, 66% now
7. 9′We said Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 66%. 1–0 · 66–18–15
8. 11′7′: V. Danube on the scoresheet for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 67–19–15
9. 22′KDV find the net on 22′. 1–1. 1–1 · 39–29–33
10. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 1–1 KDV
11. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod win: 41% at kick-off, 39% now
12. 23′GOAL DISALLOWED · 23' KDV
13. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod win: 41% at kick-off, 68% now
14. 28′KDV find the net on 27′. 1–1. 1–1 · 38–30–32
15. 28′⚽ GOAL · 27' Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 1–1 KDV
16. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod win: 41% at kick-off, 38% now
17. 29′A goal for KDV on 28′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 15–22–62
18. 29′We said Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 1–2 · 15–22–62
19. 29′⚽ GOAL · 28' Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 1–2 KDV
20. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod win: 41% at kick-off, 15% now
21. 29′THE CALL SWINGS · 29' KDV win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod win 15%)
22. 31′I. Chudin scores for KDV on 27′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 15–22–63
23. 33′We said Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–22–63
24. 45′HALF-TIME Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 1–2 KDV
25. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
26. 46′SECOND HALF Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 1–2 KDV
27. 52′We said Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–23–68
28. 57′KDV score on 57′ to make it 1–3. 1–3 · 1–6–92
29. 57′We said Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 1–3 · 1–6–92
30. 57′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 1–6–92
31. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 1–3 KDV
32. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
33. 59′Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod find the net on 59′. 2–3. 2–3 · 7–22–71
34. 59′5 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 7–22–71
35. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 2–3 KDV
36. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod win: 41% at kick-off, 7% now
37. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
38. FTFULL TIME Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 2–3 KDV
39. FTPobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 2–3 KDV · Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.