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Chelyabinsk II v Nosta
Chelyabinsk II
NostaSecond League - Group 4 · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Chelyabinsk II win at 42%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Chelyabinsk II 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–29–29
- 1′KICK-OFF Chelyabinsk II v Nosta
- 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Chelyabinsk II win 34%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Chelyabinsk II 0–0 Nosta
- 46′SECOND HALF Chelyabinsk II 0–0 Nosta
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Chelyabinsk II win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
- 52′We said Chelyabinsk II at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 30–47–23
- 54′We said Chelyabinsk II at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–48–22
- 64′We said Chelyabinsk II at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–57–19
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Chelyabinsk II win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
- 72′We said Chelyabinsk II at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–66–15
- 78′We said Chelyabinsk II at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–75–11
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Chelyabinsk II win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
- 83′We said Chelyabinsk II at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–84–7
- 90′We said Chelyabinsk II at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
- FTFULL TIME Chelyabinsk II 0–0 Nosta
- FTChelyabinsk II 0–0 Nosta · Chelyabinsk II win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Chelyabinsk II are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Chelyabinsk II 42%, draw 29%, Nosta 29%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 47%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Chelyabinsk II win42%
Nosta win29%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 12:00
RoundGroup 4 · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
Chelyabinsk IIMIN
NostaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Chelyabinsk II
Nosta
Last match: 11 Oct · Second League - Group 4
Last match: 11 Oct · Second League - Group 4
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Chelyabinsk II a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelyabinsk II win | 42% | – | – |
| Draw | 29% | – | – |
| Nosta win | 29% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 47% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | – | – |
| Chelyabinsk II or draw | 71% | – | – |
| Chelyabinsk II clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
| Nosta clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2025Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Second League - Group 4 this season · since 6 Sept
CHELYABINSK II
NOSTA
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khimik Dzerzhinsk | 22 | +41 | 56 |
| 2 | KDV | 22 | +20 | 53 |
| 3 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod | 22 | +18 | 43 |
| 4 | Akron II | 22 | +12 | 32 |
| 5 | Krylya Sovetov II | 22 | −1 | 27 |
| 6 | Dinamo Barnaul | 22 | −19 | 26 |
| 7 | Orenburg II | 22 | −4 | 26 |
| 8 | Izhevsk | 22 | −2 | 23 |
| 9 | Ural II | 22 | −10 | 22 |
| 10 | Rubin Kazan 2 | 22 | −10 | 20 |
| 11 | Nosta | 22 | −28 | 18 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk II | 22 | −17 | 17 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
KDV
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Akron II
Krylya Sovetov II
Dinamo Barnaul
Orenburg II
Izhevsk
Ural II
Rubin Kazan 2