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Akron II v Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Akron II
Khimik DzerzhinskSecond League - Group 4 · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Khimik Dzerzhinsk win at 57%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Khimik Dzerzhinsk 57% before kick-off, 57% now. 0–0 · 21–22–57
- 1′KICK-OFF Akron II v Khimik Dzerzhinsk
- 4′Akron II find the net on 4′. 1–0. 1–0 · 44–22–34
- 4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Akron II 1–0 Khimik Dzerzhinsk
- 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 4' Khimik Dzerzhinsk win: 57% at kick-off, 34% now
- 4′THE CALL SWINGS · 4' Akron II win is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Khimik Dzerzhinsk win 34%)
- 5′Akron II ahead on 7′ through N. Makeev. 1–0. 1–0 · 44–22–34
- 6′We said Khimik Dzerzhinsk at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–0 · 44–23–34
- 10′A goal for Akron II on 10′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 68–17–15
- 10′We said Khimik Dzerzhinsk at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 2–0 · 68–17–15
- 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Akron II 2–0 Khimik Dzerzhinsk
- 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 10' Khimik Dzerzhinsk win: 57% at kick-off, 15% now
- 13′Akron II score on 12′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 85–9–6
- 13′We said Khimik Dzerzhinsk at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 3–0 · 85–9–6
- 13′⚽ GOAL · 12' Akron II 3–0 Khimik Dzerzhinsk
- 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 13' Khimik Dzerzhinsk win: 57% at kick-off, 6% now
- 21′We said Khimik Dzerzhinsk at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 3–0 · 88–8–4
- 45′HALF-TIME Akron II 3–0 Khimik Dzerzhinsk
- 46′SECOND HALF Akron II 3–0 Khimik Dzerzhinsk
- 49′Khimik Dzerzhinsk find the net on 49′. 3–1. 3–1 · 83–12–5
- 49′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 83–12–5
- 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Akron II 3–1 Khimik Dzerzhinsk
- 56′A goal for Akron II on 55′ — 4–1. 4–1 · 97–3–1
- 56′⚽ GOAL · 55' Akron II 4–1 Khimik Dzerzhinsk
- 57′5 goals already, more than the 3.3 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 97–3–1
- 73′Khimik Dzerzhinsk score on 73′ to make it 4–2. 4–2 · 95–4–1
- 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Akron II 4–2 Khimik Dzerzhinsk
- 74′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 95–4–1
- 80′Khimik Dzerzhinsk find the net on 80′. 4–3. 4–3 · 82–16–2
- 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Akron II 4–3 Khimik Dzerzhinsk
- 81′7 goals already, more than the 3.3 we expected for the whole match. 4–3 · 83–15–2
- FTFULL TIME Akron II 4–3 Khimik Dzerzhinsk
- FTAkron II 4–3 Khimik Dzerzhinsk · Khimik Dzerzhinsk win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Khimik Dzerzhinsk are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Akron II 21%, draw 22%, Khimik Dzerzhinsk 57%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 61%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Akron II win21%
Khimik Dzerzhinsk win57%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 11:00
RoundGroup 4 · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
Akron IIMIN
Khimik DzerzhinskEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Akron II
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Last match: 11 Oct · Second League - Group 4
Last match: 11 Oct · Second League - Group 4
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Khimik Dzerzhinsk a 57% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–2.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Akron II win | 21% | – | – |
| Draw | 22% | – | – |
| Khimik Dzerzhinsk win | 57% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 61% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | – | – |
| Akron II or draw | 43% | – | – |
| Akron II clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
| Khimik Dzerzhinsk clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Second League - Group 4 this season · since 6 Sept
AKRON II
KHIMIK DZERZHINSK
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khimik Dzerzhinsk | 22 | +41 | 56 |
| 2 | KDV | 22 | +20 | 53 |
| 3 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod | 22 | +18 | 43 |
| 4 | Akron II | 22 | +12 | 32 |
| 5 | Krylya Sovetov II | 22 | −1 | 27 |
| 6 | Dinamo Barnaul | 22 | −19 | 26 |
| 7 | Orenburg II | 22 | −4 | 26 |
| 8 | Izhevsk | 22 | −2 | 23 |
| 9 | Ural II | 22 | −10 | 22 |
| 10 | Rubin Kazan 2 | 22 | −10 | 20 |
| 11 | Nosta | 22 | −28 | 18 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk II | 22 | −17 | 17 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
KDV
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Krylya Sovetov II
Dinamo Barnaul
Orenburg II
Izhevsk
Ural II
Rubin Kazan 2
Nosta
Chelyabinsk II