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Salyut-Belgorod v Zenit Penza
Salyut-Belgorod
Zenit PenzaSecond League - Group 3 · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Salyut-Belgorod win at 72%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Salyut-Belgorod 72% before kick-off, 72% now. 0–0 · 72–17–11
- 1′KICK-OFF Salyut-Belgorod v Zenit Penza
- 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Salyut-Belgorod win: 72% at kick-off, 62% now
- 36′We said Salyut-Belgorod at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 60%. 0–0 · 60–28–12
- 38′We said Salyut-Belgorod at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 59–29–12
- 45′HALF-TIME Salyut-Belgorod 0–0 Zenit Penza
- 46′SECOND HALF Salyut-Belgorod 0–0 Zenit Penza
- 47′We said Salyut-Belgorod at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 54–34–12
- 50′Salyut-Belgorod find the net on 50′. 1–0. 1–0 · 89–10–2
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Salyut-Belgorod win: 72% at kick-off, 52% now
- 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Salyut-Belgorod 1–0 Zenit Penza
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Salyut-Belgorod win: 72% at kick-off, 89% now
- 51′We said Salyut-Belgorod at 72% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 1–0 · 89–10–2
- 57′A goal for Salyut-Belgorod on 57′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Salyut-Belgorod 2–0 Zenit Penza
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Salyut-Belgorod win: 72% at kick-off, 99% now
- 58′We said Salyut-Belgorod at 72% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 58′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 59′Salyut-Belgorod score on 59′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 59′We said Salyut-Belgorod at 72% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Salyut-Belgorod 3–0 Zenit Penza
- 60′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 68′Salyut-Belgorod find the net on 68′. 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 68′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Salyut-Belgorod 4–0 Zenit Penza
- 71′A goal for Zenit Penza on 71′ — 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 71′5 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Salyut-Belgorod 4–1 Zenit Penza
- 76′Salyut-Belgorod score on 76′ to make it 5–1. 5–1 · 100–0–0
- 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Salyut-Belgorod 5–1 Zenit Penza
- 77′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 5–1 · 100–0–0
- 89′Salyut-Belgorod find the net on 88′. 6–1. 6–1 · 100–0–0
- 89′7 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 6–1 · 100–0–0
- 89′⚽ GOAL · 88' Salyut-Belgorod 6–1 Zenit Penza
- 90′A goal for Salyut-Belgorod on 90′ — 7–1. 7–1 · 100–0–0
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Salyut-Belgorod 7–1 Zenit Penza
- 91′That is 8, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 7–1 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Salyut-Belgorod 7–1 Zenit Penza
- FTSalyut-Belgorod 7–1 Zenit Penza · Salyut-Belgorod win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Salyut-Belgorod are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Salyut-Belgorod 72%, draw 17%, Zenit Penza 11%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 43%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Salyut-Belgorod win72%
Zenit Penza win11%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 11:00
RoundGroup 3 · matchday 29
Match timeline
All events
Salyut-BelgorodMIN
Zenit PenzaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Salyut-Belgorod
Zenit Penza
Last match: 17 Oct · Second League - Group 3
Last match: 17 Oct · Second League - Group 3
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Salyut-Belgorod a 72% chance to win. The market has them at 67%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–0.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 67% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Salyut-Belgorod win | 72% | 67% | +5 |
| Draw | 17% | 20% | −3 |
| Zenit Penza win | 11% | 13% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 57% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 43% | 49% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 78% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 36% | −3 |
| Salyut-Belgorod or draw | 89% | 87% | +2 |
| Salyut-Belgorod clean sheet | 51% | – | – |
| Zenit Penza clean sheet | 11% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
9 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Second League - Group 3 this season · since 12 Sept
SALYUT-BELGOROD
ZENIT PENZA
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya | 22 | +34 | 56 |
| 2 | FK Spartak Tambov | 22 | +25 | 53 |
| 3 | Shumbrat | 22 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 | Saturn Ramenskoye | 22 | +10 | 40 |
| 5 | Ryazan | 21 | +22 | 40 |
| 6 | Salyut-Belgorod | 22 | +16 | 39 |
| 7 | Metallurg Lipetsk | 22 | +14 | 38 |
| 8 | Avangard Kursk | 22 | −1 | 30 |
| 9 | Rodina Moskva III | 22 | +3 | 28 |
| 10 | Strogino | 22 | −10 | 25 |
| 11 | SKA Khabarovsk II | 22 | −8 | 24 |
| 12 | Zenit Penza | 21 | −16 | 23 |
| 13 | Orel | 22 | −13 | 23 |
| 14 | Rotor-2 | 22 | −20 | 14 |
| 15 | Arsenal Tula II | 22 | −25 | 14 |
| 16 | Kvant | 22 | −42 | 6 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
FK Spartak Tambov
Shumbrat
Saturn Ramenskoye
Ryazan
Metallurg Lipetsk
Avangard Kursk
Rodina Moskva III
Strogino
SKA Khabarovsk II
Orel
Rotor-2
Arsenal Tula II
Kvant