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Salyut-Belgorod v Arsenal Tula II
Salyut-Belgorod
Arsenal Tula IISecond League - Group 3 · SAT 17 OCT · Salyut Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Salyut-Belgorod win at 70%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Salyut-Belgorod 70% before kick-off, 70% now. 0–0 · 70–18–13
- 1′KICK-OFF Salyut-Belgorod v Arsenal Tula II
- 20′Salyut-Belgorod find the net on 20′. 1–0. 1–0 · 87–10–3
- 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Salyut-Belgorod 1–0 Arsenal Tula II
- 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Salyut-Belgorod win: 70% at kick-off, 87% now
- 21′We said Salyut-Belgorod at 70% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 1–0 · 87–10–3
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 87–10–3
- 45′HALF-TIME Salyut-Belgorod 1–0 Arsenal Tula II
- 46′SECOND HALF Salyut-Belgorod 1–0 Arsenal Tula II
- 68′We said Salyut-Belgorod at 70% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
- 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Salyut-Belgorod win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
- 71′A goal for Salyut-Belgorod on 71′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 71′We said Salyut-Belgorod at 70% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Salyut-Belgorod 2–0 Arsenal Tula II
- 76′We said Salyut-Belgorod at 70% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Salyut-Belgorod win: 70% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 88′Salyut-Belgorod score on 88′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Salyut-Belgorod 3–0 Arsenal Tula II
- 89′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Salyut-Belgorod 3–0 Arsenal Tula II
- FTSalyut-Belgorod 3–0 Arsenal Tula II · Salyut-Belgorod win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassSalyut-Belgorod are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Salyut-Belgorod 70%, draw 17%, Arsenal Tula II 12%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 46%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Salyut-Belgorod win70%
Arsenal Tula II win12%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 11:00
RoundGroup 3 · matchday 28
VenueSalyut Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Salyut-BelgorodMIN
Arsenal Tula IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Salyut-Belgorod
Arsenal Tula II
Last match: 11 Oct · Second League - Group 3
Last match: 11 Oct · Second League - Group 3
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Salyut-Belgorod a 70% chance to win. The market has them at 70%. We are level with the market. The model expects 2.2–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 69%, 70% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 70% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Salyut-Belgorod win | 70% | 70% | 0 |
| Draw | 17% | 19% | −2 |
| Arsenal Tula II win | 12% | 11% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 54% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 46% | 45% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 76% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 34% | 0 |
| Salyut-Belgorod or draw | 88% | 89% | −1 |
| Salyut-Belgorod clean sheet | 48% | – | – |
| Arsenal Tula II clean sheet | 12% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
7 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Second League - Group 3 this season · since 5 Sept
SALYUT-BELGOROD
ARSENAL TULA II
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya | 22 | +34 | 56 |
| 2 | FK Spartak Tambov | 22 | +25 | 53 |
| 3 | Shumbrat | 22 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 | Saturn Ramenskoye | 22 | +10 | 40 |
| 5 | Ryazan | 21 | +22 | 40 |
| 6 | Salyut-Belgorod | 22 | +16 | 39 |
| 7 | Metallurg Lipetsk | 22 | +14 | 38 |
| 8 | Avangard Kursk | 22 | −1 | 30 |
| 9 | Rodina Moskva III | 22 | +3 | 28 |
| 10 | Strogino | 22 | −10 | 25 |
| 11 | SKA Khabarovsk II | 22 | −8 | 24 |
| 12 | Zenit Penza | 21 | −16 | 23 |
| 13 | Orel | 22 | −13 | 23 |
| 14 | Rotor-2 | 22 | −20 | 14 |
| 15 | Arsenal Tula II | 22 | −25 | 14 |
| 16 | Kvant | 22 | −42 | 6 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
FK Spartak Tambov
Shumbrat
Saturn Ramenskoye
Ryazan
Metallurg Lipetsk
Avangard Kursk
Rodina Moskva III
Strogino
SKA Khabarovsk II
Zenit Penza
Orel
Rotor-2
Kvant