Ryazan v Shumbrat

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Ryazan win at 52%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Ryazan was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 52–24–23
3. 1′KICK-OFF Ryazan v Shumbrat
4. 7′Much as we predicted: Ryazan was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–26–23
5. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Ryazan win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
6. 43′We said Ryazan at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 0–0 · 40–39–21
7. 45′HALF-TIME Ryazan 0–0 Shumbrat
8. 46′We said Ryazan at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–41–20
9. 46′SECOND HALF Ryazan 0–0 Shumbrat
10. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Ryazan win 38%)
11. 55′We expected about 2.5 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 35–47–18
12. 56′We said Ryazan at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–48–18
13. 58′Ryazan score on 58′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 82–15–3
14. 58′We published Ryazan at 52%. Our model now makes it 82%. 1–0 · 82–15–3
15. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Ryazan 1–0 Shumbrat
16. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Ryazan win: 52% at kick-off, 82% now
17. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Ryazan win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 15%)
18. 66′We published Ryazan at 52%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
19. 77′We published Ryazan at 52%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
20. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Ryazan win: 52% at kick-off, 92% now
21. 84′We published Ryazan at 52%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
22. FTFULL TIME Ryazan 1–0 Shumbrat
23. FTRyazan 1–0 Shumbrat · Ryazan win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.