Orel v Zenit Penza

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Orel win at 47%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Orel 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–25–28
3. 1′KICK-OFF Orel v Zenit Penza
4. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Orel win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
5. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Orel win 36%)
6. 45′HALF-TIME Orel 0–0 Zenit Penza
7. 46′SECOND HALF Orel 0–0 Zenit Penza
8. 47′We said Orel at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 0–0 · 35–42–23
9. 49′We said Orel at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–43–22
10. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.4 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 32–48–21
11. 60′We said Orel at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–52–19
12. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Orel win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
13. 68′We said Orel at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–60–16
14. 74′We said Orel at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–68–13
15. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Orel win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
16. 79′We said Orel at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–76–10
17. 84′We said Orel at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 8–86–6
18. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Orel win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
19. 90′We said Orel at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–3
20. FTFULL TIME Orel 0–0 Zenit Penza
21. FTOrel 0–0 Zenit Penza · Orel win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.