Yenisey II v Dinamo Vologda prediction · Second League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Yenisey IIDrawDinamo Vologda

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 09:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Dinamo Vologda 51%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dinamo Vologda are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Yenisey II 27%, draw 23%, Dinamo Vologda 51%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Yenisey II v Dinamo VologdaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Yenisey II win27%

Draw23%

Dinamo Vologda win51%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 09:00

RoundGroup 2 · matchday 29

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Yenisey II

Dinamo Vologda

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Second League - Group 2

Last match: 18 Oct · Second League - Group 2

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Dinamo Vologda	20	+3	23
13	Yenisey II	21	−17	19

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dinamo vologda winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Dinamo Vologda a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Yenisey II v Dinamo Vologda~~1.23 – 1.79

~~Form · last six in Second League - Group 2 this season · since 6 Sept~~W1 D0 L5 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 19 v 23~~13 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Yenisey II win	27%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Dinamo Vologda win	51%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Yenisey II or draw	49%	–	–
Yenisey II clean sheet	17%	–	–
Dinamo Vologda clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.4%

0123450 5.0 9.2 7.8 4.7 2.2 1 6.4 10.4 9.3 5.5 2.5 2 3.7 6.4 5.6 3.4 3 2.7 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Yenisey II down, Dinamo Vologda across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,443 Second League - Group 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second League - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.8% of games this season, across 184 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Yenisey II at home: 1.67 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Dinamo Vologda away: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.23 goals for Yenisey II, 1.79 for Dinamo Vologda. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 8

~~Both scored~~3 of 8

~~Last meetings~~DIN 4–0 YEN · YEN 0–2 DIN · DIN 5–1 YEN · DIN 2–0 YEN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League - Group 2 this season · since 6 Sept

YENISEY II

LLLLWL1–2 · 2–3 · 2–6 · 0–3 · 2–1 · 1–2

DINAMO VOLOGDA

LDWLLL0–2 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 0–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Murom	21	+18	44
2	Dinamo St. Petersburg	20	+22	42
3	Luki-Energiya	21	+18	42
4	Baltika II	21	+19	40
5	Chertanovo Moscow	21	+21	39
6	Torpedo Vladimir	20	+5	32
7	Kosmos Dolgoprudny	21	−6	28
8	Tver	21	−6	24
9	Cherepovets	20	−11	24
10	Zvezda St. Petersburg	20	0	24
11	Dinamo Vologda	20	+3	23
12	Spartak Moscow 2	21	−6	23
13	Yenisey II	21	−17	19
14	Iskra Smolensk	21	−25	15
15	Irkutsk	21	−35	11