Luki-Energiya v Spartak Moscow 2

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Luki-Energiya win at 43%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Luki-Energiya 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–28–29
3. 1′KICK-OFF Luki-Energiya v Spartak Moscow 2
4. 6′Luki-Energiya score on 5′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 71–19–10
5. 6′We said Luki-Energiya at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 1–0 · 71–19–10
6. 6′⚽ GOAL · 5' Luki-Energiya 1–0 Spartak Moscow 2
7. 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 6' Luki-Energiya win: 43% at kick-off, 71% now
8. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Luki-Energiya win: 43% at kick-off, 73% now
9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.3 we expected. 1–0 · 74–19–7
10. 37′We said Luki-Energiya at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–19–6
11. 45′HALF-TIME Luki-Energiya 1–0 Spartak Moscow 2
12. 46′SECOND HALF Luki-Energiya 1–0 Spartak Moscow 2
13. 58′We said Luki-Energiya at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
14. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Luki-Energiya win: 43% at kick-off, 83% now
15. 70′Spartak Moscow 2 find the net on 70′. 1–1. 1–1 · 21–64–15
16. 70′We said Luki-Energiya at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 21%. 1–1 · 21–64–15
17. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Luki-Energiya 1–1 Spartak Moscow 2
18. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Luki-Energiya win: 43% at kick-off, 21% now
19. 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Draw is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Luki-Energiya win 21%)
20. 72′We said Luki-Energiya at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–67–14
21. 74′A goal for Luki-Energiya on 73′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 87–12–1
22. 74′We said Luki-Energiya at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 2–1 · 87–12–1
23. 74′⚽ GOAL · 73' Luki-Energiya 2–1 Spartak Moscow 2
24. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Luki-Energiya win: 43% at kick-off, 87% now
25. 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Luki-Energiya win is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Draw 12%)
26. 75′3 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 87–12–1
27. 79′We said Luki-Energiya at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
28. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Luki-Energiya win: 43% at kick-off, 93% now
29. 84′Spartak Moscow 2 score on 84′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 8–86–6
30. 84′We said Luki-Energiya at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 2–2 · 8–86–6
31. 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Luki-Energiya 2–2 Spartak Moscow 2
32. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Luki-Energiya win: 43% at kick-off, 8% now
33. 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Draw is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Luki-Energiya win 8%)
34. 85′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.3 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 7–87–5
35. 90′We said Luki-Energiya at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–3
36. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Luki-Energiya win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
37. FTFULL TIME Luki-Energiya 2–2 Spartak Moscow 2
38. FTLuki-Energiya 2–2 Spartak Moscow 2 · Luki-Energiya win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.