Kosmos Dolgoprudny v Torpedo Vladimir prediction · Second League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Kosmos DolgoprudnyDrawTorpedo Vladimir

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Kosmos Dolgoprudny 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kosmos Dolgoprudny are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kosmos Dolgoprudny 44%, draw 27%, Torpedo Vladimir 29%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Kosmos Dolgoprudny v Torpedo VladimirBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Kosmos Dolgoprudny win44%

Draw27%

Torpedo Vladimir win29%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 10:00

RoundGroup 2 · matchday 29

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kosmos Dolgoprudny

Torpedo Vladimir

14Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Second League - Group 2

Last match: 18 Oct · Second League - Group 2

1Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Torpedo Vladimir	20	+5	32
7	Kosmos Dolgoprudny	21	−6	28

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kosmos dolgoprudny winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Kosmos Dolgoprudny a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kosmos Dolgoprudny v Torpedo Vladimir~~1.30 – 0.99

~~Form · last six in Second League - Group 2 this season · since 30 Aug~~W4 D0 L2 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 28 v 32~~7 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kosmos Dolgoprudny win	44%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Torpedo Vladimir win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	40%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	66%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
Kosmos Dolgoprudny or draw	71%	–	–
Kosmos Dolgoprudny clean sheet	38%	–	–
Torpedo Vladimir clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.4%

0123450 10.3 10.4 5.0 1 13.4 12.5 6.3 2.1 2 8.5 8.2 4.0 3 3.7 3.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kosmos Dolgoprudny down, Torpedo Vladimir across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,442 Second League - Group 2 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second League - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.1% of games this season, across 183 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 1.67 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kosmos Dolgoprudny at home: 1.50 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Torpedo Vladimir away: 0.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.30 goals for Kosmos Dolgoprudny, 0.99 for Torpedo Vladimir. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~1.67

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~TOR 1–2 KOS · KOS 0–0 TOR · TOR 0–2 KOS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League - Group 2 this season · since 30 Aug

KOSMOS DOLGOPRUDNY

WLLWWW2–1 · 0–2 · 2–4 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 2–1

TORPEDO VLADIMIR

LLLWLD0–4 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 0–3 · 1–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Murom	21	+18	44
2	Dinamo St. Petersburg	20	+22	42
3	Luki-Energiya	21	+18	42
4	Baltika II	21	+19	40
5	Chertanovo Moscow	21	+21	39
6	Torpedo Vladimir	20	+5	32
7	Kosmos Dolgoprudny	21	−6	28
8	Tver	21	−6	24
9	Cherepovets	20	−11	24
10	Zvezda St. Petersburg	20	0	24
11	Dinamo Vologda	20	+3	23
12	Spartak Moscow 2	21	−6	23
13	Yenisey II	21	−17	19
14	Iskra Smolensk	21	−25	15
15	Irkutsk	21	−35	11