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Kosmos Dolgoprudny v Dinamo Vologda

Kosmos Dolgoprudny

2–1Full time

Dinamo Vologda

Second League - Group 2 · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 13:41

Kosmos Dolgoprudny 2–1 Dinamo Vologda KOSMOS DOLGOPRUDNY WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kosmos Dolgoprudny win~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.566

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 26 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Kosmos Dolgoprudny win at 39%.
2′Much as we predicted: Kosmos Dolgoprudny was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 38–27–35
25′A goal for Kosmos Dolgoprudny on 23′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 68–21–11
32′A goal for Kosmos Dolgoprudny on 23′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 69–21–10
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Kosmos Dolgoprudny win: 39% at kick-off, 68% now
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Kosmos Dolgoprudny win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Kosmos Dolgoprudny win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Kosmos Dolgoprudny win: 39% at kick-off, 68% now
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Kosmos Dolgoprudny win: 39% at kick-off, 68% now
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Kosmos Dolgoprudny win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Kosmos Dolgoprudny win: 39% at kick-off, 68% now
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Kosmos Dolgoprudny win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Kosmos Dolgoprudny win: 39% at kick-off, 68% now
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Kosmos Dolgoprudny win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Kosmos Dolgoprudny win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Kosmos Dolgoprudny win: 39% at kick-off, 68% now
40′A. Arutyunov scores for Kosmos Dolgoprudny on 24′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 70–21–9
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Kosmos Dolgoprudny win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
45′A. Arutyunov scores for Kosmos Dolgoprudny on 24′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 71–21–8
45′We published Kosmos Dolgoprudny at 39%. Our model now makes it 71%. 1–0 · 71–21–8
45′HALF-TIME Kosmos Dolgoprudny 1–0 Dinamo Vologda
46′SECOND HALF Kosmos Dolgoprudny 1–0 Dinamo Vologda
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Kosmos Dolgoprudny win: 39% at kick-off, 71% now
50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Kosmos Dolgoprudny 2–0 Dinamo Vologda
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Kosmos Dolgoprudny win: 39% at kick-off, 71% now
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Kosmos Dolgoprudny win: 39% at kick-off, 71% now
54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Kosmos Dolgoprudny win: 39% at kick-off, 71% now
54′🟥 RED CARD · 47' D. Dolgov · Dinamo Vologda
54′⚽ GOAL · 50' Kosmos Dolgoprudny 2–0 Dinamo Vologda · O. Trofimov
55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Kosmos Dolgoprudny win: 39% at kick-off, 71% now
62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Kosmos Dolgoprudny 2–1 Dinamo Vologda
77′⚽ GOAL · 76' Kosmos Dolgoprudny 2–1 Dinamo Vologda
FTFULL TIME Kosmos Dolgoprudny 2–1 Dinamo Vologda
FTKosmos Dolgoprudny 2–1 Dinamo Vologda · Kosmos Dolgoprudny win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Kosmos Dolgoprudny win39%

Draw26%

Dinamo Vologda win35%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 11:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Kosmos Dolgoprudny

Dinamo Vologda

7Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Kosmos Dolgoprudny	24	−4	34
10	Dinamo Vologda	23	−4	24

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kosmos dolgoprudny winPublished 11 Oct 11:02

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Kosmos Dolgoprudny a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kosmos Dolgoprudny win	39%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Dinamo Vologda win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	72%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Kosmos Dolgoprudny or draw	65%	–	–
Kosmos Dolgoprudny clean sheet	29%	–	–
Dinamo Vologda clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.1%

0123450 7.7 9.7 6.0 2.5 1 10.3 12.1 7.7 3.3 2 6.6 8.1 5.0 2.1 3 3.0 3.7 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kosmos Dolgoprudny down, Dinamo Vologda across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,430 Second League - Group 2 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Second League - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.4% of games this season, across 171 played.

Head to head

3 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kosmos Dolgoprudny at home: 1.50 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Dinamo Vologda away: 0.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.34 goals for Kosmos Dolgoprudny, 1.26 for Dinamo Vologda. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 3

~~Both scored~~3 of 3

~~Last meetings~~DIN 2–4 KOS · KOS 1–2 DIN · DIN 2–1 KOS

Form · last six in Second League - Group 2

KOSMOS DOLGOPRUDNY

WWLLWW1–0 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 2–4 · 3–0 · 2–1

DINAMO VOLOGDA

LLLDWL1–2 · 2–3 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 0–3

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dinamo St. Petersburg	24	+29	51
2	Murom	23	+24	50
3	Chertanovo Moscow	24	+23	45
4	Luki-Energiya	23	+15	45
5	Baltika II	24	+12	40
6	Kosmos Dolgoprudny	24	−4	34
7	Tver	24	+5	33
8	Cherepovets	23	−8	30
9	Torpedo Vladimir	22	−5	29
10	Dinamo Vologda	23	−4	24
11	Yenisey II	25	−24	22
12	Spartak Moscow 2	22	−10	21
13	Zvezda St. Petersburg	23	−16	21
14	Iskra Smolensk	25	−26	21
15	Irkutsk	13	−11	11