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Dinamo Vologda v Chertanovo Moscow
Dinamo Vologda
Chertanovo MoscowSecond League - Group 2 · SUN 18 OCT · Dinamo
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Chertanovo Moscow win at 41%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Chertanovo Moscow 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 34–24–41
- 1′KICK-OFF Dinamo Vologda v Chertanovo Moscow
- 42′Chertanovo Moscow find the net on 42′. 0–1. 0–1 · 9–21–71
- 42′We said Chertanovo Moscow at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 0–1 · 9–21–71
- 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Dinamo Vologda 0–1 Chertanovo Moscow
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Chertanovo Moscow win: 41% at kick-off, 71% now
- 43′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 8–21–71
- 45′HALF-TIME Dinamo Vologda 0–1 Chertanovo Moscow
- 46′SECOND HALF Dinamo Vologda 0–1 Chertanovo Moscow
- 57′We said Chertanovo Moscow at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 6–20–75
- 68′We said Chertanovo Moscow at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Chertanovo Moscow win: 41% at kick-off, 81% now
- 76′We said Chertanovo Moscow at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 2–14–85
- 82′We said Chertanovo Moscow at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Chertanovo Moscow win: 41% at kick-off, 91% now
- 88′We said Chertanovo Moscow at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
- FTFULL TIME Dinamo Vologda 0–1 Chertanovo Moscow
- FTDinamo Vologda 0–1 Chertanovo Moscow · Chertanovo Moscow win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Chertanovo Moscow are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Dinamo Vologda 34%, draw 24%, Chertanovo Moscow 41%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Dinamo Vologda win34%
Chertanovo Moscow win41%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00
RoundGroup 2 · matchday 28
VenueDinamo
Match timeline
All events
Dinamo VologdaMIN
Chertanovo MoscowEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Dinamo Vologda
Chertanovo Moscow
Last match: 11 Oct · Second League - Group 2
Last match: 14 Oct · the Russian Cup
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Chertanovo Moscow a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are 13 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Vologda win | 34% | 21% | +13 |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | −1 |
| Chertanovo Moscow win | 41% | 54% | −13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 50% | +3 |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 51% | +5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 73% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 29% | +3 |
| Dinamo Vologda or draw | 59% | 46% | +13 |
| Dinamo Vologda clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
| Chertanovo Moscow clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
7 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Second League - Group 2 this season · since 30 Aug
DINAMO VOLOGDA
CHERTANOVO MOSCOW
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Murom | 21 | +18 | 44 |
| 2 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 20 | +22 | 42 |
| 3 | Luki-Energiya | 21 | +18 | 42 |
| 4 | Baltika II | 21 | +19 | 40 |
| 5 | Chertanovo Moscow | 21 | +21 | 39 |
| 6 | Torpedo Vladimir | 20 | +5 | 32 |
| 7 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | 21 | −6 | 28 |
| 8 | Tver | 21 | −6 | 24 |
| 9 | Cherepovets | 20 | −11 | 24 |
| 10 | Zvezda St. Petersburg | 20 | 0 | 24 |
| 11 | Dinamo Vologda | 20 | +3 | 23 |
| 12 | Spartak Moscow 2 | 21 | −6 | 23 |
| 13 | Yenisey II | 21 | −17 | 19 |
| 14 | Iskra Smolensk | 21 | −25 | 15 |
| 15 | Irkutsk | 21 | −35 | 11 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Murom
Dinamo St. Petersburg
Luki-Energiya
Baltika II
Torpedo Vladimir
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
Tver
Cherepovets
Zvezda St. Petersburg
Spartak Moscow 2
Yenisey II
Iskra Smolensk
Irkutsk