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Chertanovo Moscow v Baltika II
Chertanovo MoscowBaltika IISecond League - Group 2 · SUN 11 OCT · Chertanovo Arena
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Chertanovo Moscow win at 50%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Chertanovo Moscow 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–22–28
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Chertanovo Moscow 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–22–28
- 22′Chertanovo Moscow ahead on 12′ through M. Melnikov. 1–0. 1–0 · 73–17–11
- 23′Chertanovo Moscow ahead on 12′ through M. Melnikov. 1–0. 1–0 · 73–17–10
- 42′We said Chertanovo Moscow at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 1–0 · 74–18–8
- 45′We said Chertanovo Moscow at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 1–0 · 74–18–7
- 48′We said Chertanovo Moscow at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–18–7
- 52′We said Chertanovo Moscow at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–18–6
- 72′We said Chertanovo Moscow at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 1–0 · 82–15–2
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Chertanovo Moscow win: 50% at kick-off, 75% now
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Chertanovo Moscow win: 50% at kick-off, 82% now
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Chertanovo Moscow win: 50% at kick-off, 75% now
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Chertanovo Moscow win: 50% at kick-off, 82% now
- 88′We said Chertanovo Moscow at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 1–0 · 97–3–0
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Chertanovo Moscow win: 50% at kick-off, 97% now
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Chertanovo Moscow win: 50% at kick-off, 82% now
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Chertanovo Moscow win: 50% at kick-off, 97% now
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Chertanovo Moscow win: 50% at kick-off, 82% now
- 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Chertanovo Moscow win: 50% at kick-off, 97% now
- 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Chertanovo Moscow win: 50% at kick-off, 82% now
- FTFULL TIME Chertanovo Moscow 1–0 Baltika II
- FTChertanovo Moscow 1–0 Baltika II · Chertanovo Moscow win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.
The model’s prediction on this page stays free.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Chertanovo Moscow win50%Baltika II win28%Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 17:00
VenueChertanovo Arena
Match timeline
All events
Chertanovo MoscowMINBaltika IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Chertanovo Moscow
Baltika II
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chertanovo Moscow | 24 | +23 | 45 |
| 5 | Baltika II | 24 | +12 | 40 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Chertanovo Moscow a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–1.4.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 45% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chertanovo Moscow win | 50% | 45% | +6 |
| Draw | 21% | 25% | −3 |
| Baltika II win | 28% | 31% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 62% | +3 |
| Both teams to score | 65% | 64% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 82% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 42% | +3 |
| Chertanovo Moscow or draw | 72% | 69% | +2 |
| Chertanovo Moscow clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
| Baltika II clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2025Form · last six in Second League - Group 2
CHERTANOVO MOSCOW
BALTIKA II
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dinamo St. Petersburg | 24 | +29 | 51 |
| 2 |  Murom | 23 | +24 | 50 |
| 3 | Chertanovo Moscow | 24 | +23 | 45 |
| 4 |  Luki-Energiya | 23 | +15 | 45 |
| 5 | Baltika II | 24 | +12 | 40 |
| 6 |  Kosmos Dolgoprudny | 24 | −4 | 34 |
| 7 |  Tver | 24 | +5 | 33 |
| 8 |  Cherepovets | 23 | −8 | 30 |
| 9 |  Torpedo Vladimir | 22 | −5 | 29 |
| 10 |  Dinamo Vologda | 23 | −4 | 24 |
| 11 |  Yenisey II | 25 | −24 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spartak Moscow 2 | 22 | −10 | 21 |
| 13 |  Zvezda St. Petersburg | 23 | −16 | 21 |
| 14 |  Iskra Smolensk | 25 | −26 | 21 |
| 15 |  Irkutsk | 13 | −11 | 11 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.