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Baltika II v Yenisey II
Baltika II
Yenisey IISecond League - Group 2 · SAT 17 OCT · Baltika Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Baltika II win at 71%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Baltika II v Yenisey II
- 2′Baltika II score on 1′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 86–9–5
- 2′We published Baltika II at 71%. Our model now makes it 86%. 1–0 · 86–9–5
- 14′Baltika II find the net on 14′. 2–0. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Baltika II 2–0 Yenisey II
- 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Baltika II win: 71% at kick-off, 95% now
- 15′We published Baltika II at 71%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 19′Baltika II ahead on 12′ through G. Iva. 2–0. 2–0 · 95–3–1
- 34′PENALTY MISSED · 34' Baltika II
- 38′Goals are coming at about the 3.8 we expected. 2–0 · 96–3–1
- 45′HALF-TIME Baltika II 2–0 Yenisey II
- 46′SECOND HALF Baltika II 2–0 Yenisey II
- 47′A goal for Yenisey II on 45′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 85–12–3
- 47′⚽ GOAL · 45+2' Baltika II 2–1 Yenisey II
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+2' Baltika II win: 71% at kick-off, 85% now
- 48′GOAL DISALLOWED · 45+3' Yenisey II
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+3' Baltika II win: 71% at kick-off, 97% now
- 60′A goal for Yenisey II on 60′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 85–12–2
- 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Baltika II 2–1 Yenisey II
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Baltika II win: 71% at kick-off, 85% now
- 77′We published Baltika II at 71%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Baltika II win: 71% at kick-off, 91% now
- 89′A red card for Yenisey II on 88′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 2–1 · 96–4–0
- 89′🟥 RED CARD · 88' Yenisey II
- FTFULL TIME Baltika II 2–1 Yenisey II
- FTBaltika II 2–1 Yenisey II · Baltika II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassBaltika II are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Baltika II 71%, draw 16%, Yenisey II 14%. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 61%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Baltika II win71%
Yenisey II win14%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00
RoundGroup 2 · matchday 28
VenueBaltika Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Baltika IIMIN
Yenisey IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Baltika II
Yenisey II
Last match: 11 Oct · Second League - Group 2
Last match: 4 Oct · Second League - Group 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Baltika II a 71% chance to win. The model expects 2.7–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltika II win | 71% | – | – |
| Draw | 16% | – | – |
| Yenisey II win | 14% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 61% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 53% | – | – |
| Baltika II or draw | 86% | – | – |
| Baltika II clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
| Yenisey II clean sheet | 7% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2025Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Second League - Group 2 this season · since 30 Aug
BALTIKA II
YENISEY II
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Murom | 21 | +18 | 44 |
| 2 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 20 | +22 | 42 |
| 3 | Luki-Energiya | 21 | +18 | 42 |
| 4 | Baltika II | 21 | +19 | 40 |
| 5 | Chertanovo Moscow | 21 | +21 | 39 |
| 6 | Torpedo Vladimir | 20 | +5 | 32 |
| 7 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | 21 | −6 | 28 |
| 8 | Tver | 21 | −6 | 24 |
| 9 | Cherepovets | 20 | −11 | 24 |
| 10 | Zvezda St. Petersburg | 20 | 0 | 24 |
| 11 | Dinamo Vologda | 20 | +3 | 23 |
| 12 | Spartak Moscow 2 | 21 | −6 | 23 |
| 13 | Yenisey II | 21 | −17 | 19 |
| 14 | Iskra Smolensk | 21 | −25 | 15 |
| 15 | Irkutsk | 21 | −35 | 11 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Murom
Dinamo St. Petersburg
Luki-Energiya
Chertanovo Moscow
Torpedo Vladimir
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
Tver
Cherepovets
Zvezda St. Petersburg
Dinamo Vologda
Spartak Moscow 2
Iskra Smolensk
Irkutsk