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Spartak Nalchik v FK Chayka 2
Spartak Nalchik
FK Chayka 2Second League - Group 1 · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Spartak Nalchik win at 65%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Spartak Nalchik 65% before kick-off, 64% now. 0–0 · 64–19–17
- 1′KICK-OFF Spartak Nalchik v FK Chayka 2
- 2′A goal for Spartak Nalchik on 2′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 83–11–6
- 2′We said Spartak Nalchik at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 83%. 1–0 · 83–11–6
- 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Spartak Nalchik 1–0 FK Chayka 2
- 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Spartak Nalchik win: 65% at kick-off, 83% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 1–0 · 82–13–5
- 38′FK Chayka 2 score on 38′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 54–28–18
- 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Spartak Nalchik 1–1 FK Chayka 2
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Spartak Nalchik win: 65% at kick-off, 54% now
- 40′We said Spartak Nalchik at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 53%. 1–1 · 53–29–18
- 45′HALF-TIME Spartak Nalchik 1–1 FK Chayka 2
- 46′SECOND HALF Spartak Nalchik 1–1 FK Chayka 2
- 49′We said Spartak Nalchik at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–34–17
- 53′Spartak Nalchik find the net on 52′. 2–1. 2–1 · 83–14–3
- 53′⚽ GOAL · 52' Spartak Nalchik 2–1 FK Chayka 2
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Spartak Nalchik win: 65% at kick-off, 83% now
- 63′We said Spartak Nalchik at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Spartak Nalchik win: 65% at kick-off, 85% now
- 76′FK Chayka 2 are down to ten from 75′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 2–1 · 89–10–1
- 76′🟥 RED CARD · 75' FK Chayka 2
- 78′We said Spartak Nalchik at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 86′We said Spartak Nalchik at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Spartak Nalchik win: 65% at kick-off, 95% now
- 87′Spartak Nalchik have ten men and FK Chayka 2 ten after the red cards. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- 87′🟥 RED CARD · 87' Spartak Nalchik
- 92′🟨 YELLOW · 87' A. Goguzokov · Spartak Nalchik
- FTFULL TIME Spartak Nalchik 2–1 FK Chayka 2
- FTSpartak Nalchik 2–1 FK Chayka 2 · Spartak Nalchik win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassSpartak Nalchik are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Spartak Nalchik 65%, draw 18%, FK Chayka 2 17%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 59%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Spartak Nalchik win65%
FK Chayka 2 win17%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00
RoundGroup 1 · matchday 28
Match timeline
All events
Spartak NalchikMIN
FK Chayka 2Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Spartak Nalchik
FK Chayka 2
Last match: 10 Oct · Second League - Group 1
Last match: 10 Oct · Second League - Group 1
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Spartak Nalchik a 65% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Nalchik win | 65% | – | – |
| Draw | 18% | – | – |
| FK Chayka 2 win | 17% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 59% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | – | – |
| Spartak Nalchik or draw | 83% | – | – |
| Spartak Nalchik clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
| FK Chayka 2 clean sheet | 10% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2026Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Second League - Group 1 this season · since 5 Sept
SPARTAK NALCHIK
FK CHAYKA 2