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Shahter Taganrog v Spartak Nalchik

Shahter Taganrog
1–0Full time
Spartak Nalchik

Second League - Group 1 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 15:38
Shahter Taganrog 1–0 Spartak Nalchik SHAHTER TAGANROG WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Shahter Taganrog win56%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.288

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 11 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Shahter Taganrog win at 56%.
  2. 2′Much as we predicted: Shahter Taganrog was 56% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 56–23–21
  3. 2′KICK-OFF Shahter Taganrog v Spartak Nalchik
  4. 34′🟥 RED CARD · 34' Spartak Nalchik
  5. 42′A red card for Spartak Nalchik on 34′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 45–35–20
  6. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Shahter Taganrog win: 56% at kick-off, 45% now
  7. 45′We said Shahter Taganrog at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–36–20
  8. 45′HALF-TIME Shahter Taganrog 0–0 Spartak Nalchik
  9. 48′SECOND HALF Shahter Taganrog 0–0 Spartak Nalchik
  10. 65′We said Shahter Taganrog at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 0–0 · 32–52–16
  11. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Shahter Taganrog win: 56% at kick-off, 32% now
  12. 65′THE CALL SWINGS · 65' Draw is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Shahter Taganrog win 32%)
  13. 83′🟥 RED CARD · 34' K. Kadykoev · Spartak Nalchik
  14. 86′We said Shahter Taganrog at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 8–88–4
  15. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Shahter Taganrog win: 56% at kick-off, 8% now
  16. 90′⚽ GOAL · 92' Shahter Taganrog 1–0 Spartak Nalchik
  17. FTFULL TIME Shahter Taganrog 1–0 Spartak Nalchik
  18. FTShahter Taganrog 1–0 Spartak Nalchik · Shahter Taganrog win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Shahter Taganrog win56%
Draw22%
Spartak Nalchik win22%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · shahter taganrog winPublished 10 Oct 13:12
56% The market–
Us56%

We make Shahter Taganrog a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Shahter Taganrog win56%––
Draw22%––
Spartak Nalchik win22%––
Over 2.5 goals55%––
Both teams to score53%––
Over 1.5 goals78%––
Over 3.5 goals33%––
Shahter Taganrog or draw78%––
Shahter Taganrog clean sheet36%––
Spartak Nalchik clean sheet16%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 10.6%
0123450 5.7 6.2 3.1 1 10.6 10.3 5.4 2 9.4 9.4 4.9 3 5.8 5.8 3.0 4 2.8 2.8 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Shahter Taganrog down, Spartak Nalchik across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsSPA 0–1 SHA

Form · last six in Second League - Group 1

SHAHTER TAGANROG

WDWDLL4–2 · 1–1 · 4–2 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 1–2

SPARTAK NALCHIK

LLWLLW0–1 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 3–4 · 2–1

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Sevastopol25+2660
2Shahter Taganrog26+2353
3Rostov II25+2550
4Pobeda24+1442
5Kyzyltash25+940
6Rubin Yalta25+940
7Druzhba25+539
8Nart Cherkessk25+1238
9Spartak Nalchik24+734
10Lugansk25−130
11Astrakhan25−827
12Izberbash26−4223
13Angust Nazran24−1619
14PSK Dinskaya12−317
15Dynamo Makhachkala II26−2317
16FK Chayka 226−3717

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.