Sevastopol v Izberbash

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sevastopol win at 86%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Sevastopol was 86% before kick-off and our model makes it 86% now. 0–0 · 86–9–5
3. 1′KICK-OFF Sevastopol v Izberbash
4. 24′A red card for Sevastopol on 24′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 80–14–6
5. 24′🟥 RED CARD · 24' Sevastopol
6. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Sevastopol win: 86% at kick-off, 76% now
7. 38′We said Sevastopol at 86%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 74%. 0–0 · 74–19–7
8. 45′HALF-TIME Sevastopol 0–0 Izberbash
9. 46′SECOND HALF Sevastopol 0–0 Izberbash
10. 47′We said Sevastopol at 86%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 69%. 0–0 · 69–24–7
11. 51′A goal for Izberbash on 51′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 36–31–33
12. 51′We said Sevastopol at 86%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 0–1 · 36–31–33
13. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Sevastopol 0–1 Izberbash
14. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Sevastopol win: 86% at kick-off, 36% now
15. 53′We said Sevastopol at 86%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–31–35
16. 55′Sevastopol score on 55′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 64–29–7
17. 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Sevastopol 1–1 Izberbash
18. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Sevastopol win: 86% at kick-off, 64% now
19. 56′We said Sevastopol at 86%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 63%. 1–1 · 63–30–7
20. 58′Sevastopol score on 56′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 61–32–7
21. 60′We said Sevastopol at 86%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 59%. 1–1 · 59–34–7
22. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Sevastopol win: 86% at kick-off, 56% now
23. 65′We said Sevastopol at 86%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 1–1 · 54–39–7
24. 68′Izberbash find the net on 68′. 1–2. 1–2 · 18–32–50
25. 68′We said Sevastopol at 86%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 1–2 · 18–32–50
26. 68′Goals are coming at about the 4.0 we expected. 1–2 · 18–32–50
27. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Sevastopol 1–2 Izberbash
28. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Sevastopol win: 86% at kick-off, 18% now
29. 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Izberbash win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Sevastopol win 18%)
30. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Sevastopol win: 86% at kick-off, 16% now
31. 72′We said Sevastopol at 86%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–2 · 13–31–56
32. 76′We said Sevastopol at 86%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–28–63
33. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Sevastopol win: 86% at kick-off, 6% now
34. 81′We said Sevastopol at 86%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–22–73
35. 91′A goal for Sevastopol on 90′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 9–90–2
36. 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Sevastopol 2–2 Izberbash
37. 91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Izberbash win 2%)
38. FTFULL TIME Sevastopol 2–2 Izberbash
39. FTSevastopol 2–2 Izberbash · Sevastopol win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 3–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.