Rubin Yalta v Astrakhan

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Rubin Yalta win at 49%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Rubin Yalta 49% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 49–26–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF Rubin Yalta v Astrakhan
4. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Rubin Yalta win: 49% at kick-off, 39% now
5. 45′HALF-TIME Rubin Yalta 0–0 Astrakhan
6. 46′We said Rubin Yalta at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 37%. 0–0 · 37–42–21
7. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Rubin Yalta win 37%)
8. 46′SECOND HALF Rubin Yalta 0–0 Astrakhan
9. 47′Rubin Yalta find the net on 47′. 1–0. 1–0 · 79–17–4
10. 47′We said Rubin Yalta at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 1–0 · 79–17–4
11. 47′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 79–17–4
12. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Rubin Yalta 1–0 Astrakhan
13. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Rubin Yalta win: 49% at kick-off, 79% now
14. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Rubin Yalta win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 17%)
15. 50′We said Rubin Yalta at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
16. 55′A goal for Astrakhan on 55′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 33–48–19
17. 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Rubin Yalta 1–1 Astrakhan
18. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Rubin Yalta win: 49% at kick-off, 33% now
19. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Rubin Yalta win 33%)
20. 56′We said Rubin Yalta at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 33–48–19
21. 62′We said Rubin Yalta at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–54–17
22. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Rubin Yalta win: 49% at kick-off, 29% now
23. 69′We said Rubin Yalta at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–61–15
24. 75′Rubin Yalta score on 74′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 88–11–1
25. 75′We said Rubin Yalta at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 2–1 · 88–11–1
26. 75′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 88–11–1
27. 75′⚽ GOAL · 74' Rubin Yalta 2–1 Astrakhan
28. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Rubin Yalta win: 49% at kick-off, 88% now
29. 75′THE CALL SWINGS · 75' Rubin Yalta win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
30. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Rubin Yalta win: 49% at kick-off, 89% now
31. 77′Rubin Yalta find the net on 76′. 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
32. 77′We said Rubin Yalta at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 3–1 · 99–1–0
33. 77′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 99–1–0
34. 77′⚽ GOAL · 76' Rubin Yalta 3–1 Astrakhan
35. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Rubin Yalta win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
36. 80′We said Rubin Yalta at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
37. 80′Rubin Yalta ahead on 77′ through E. Biryukov. 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
38. 92′PENALTY MISSED · 90+2' Rubin Yalta
39. FTFULL TIME Rubin Yalta 3–1 Astrakhan
40. FTRubin Yalta 3–1 Astrakhan · Rubin Yalta win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.