Rostov II v Kyzyltash

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Rostov II win at 53%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Rostov II was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 53–22–24
3. 1′KICK-OFF Rostov II v Kyzyltash
4. 25′Rostov II find the net on 24′. 1–0. 1–0 · 76–16–8
5. 25′We published Rostov II at 53%. Our model now makes it 76%. 1–0 · 76–16–8
6. 25′⚽ GOAL · 24' Rostov II 1–0 Kyzyltash
7. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Rostov II win: 53% at kick-off, 76% now
8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 1–0 · 76–16–7
9. 35′A goal for Kyzyltash on 35′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 46–31–23
10. 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Rostov II 1–1 Kyzyltash
11. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Rostov II win: 53% at kick-off, 46% now
12. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Rostov II win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
13. 45′HALF-TIME Rostov II 1–1 Kyzyltash
14. 46′SECOND HALF Rostov II 1–1 Kyzyltash
15. 47′We said Rostov II at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 41%. 1–1 · 41–37–22
16. 52′We said Rostov II at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–40–21
17. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Rostov II win 40%)
18. 61′We said Rostov II at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–47–19
19. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Rostov II win: 53% at kick-off, 33% now
20. 68′We said Rostov II at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–54–17
21. 74′We said Rostov II at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–62–14
22. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Rostov II win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
23. 78′We said Rostov II at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–69–12
24. 82′We said Rostov II at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–78–8
25. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Rostov II win: 53% at kick-off, 12% now
26. 86′We said Rostov II at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–85–6
27. 90′Rostov II score on 90′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 96–4–0
28. 90′We published Rostov II at 53%. Our model now makes it 96%. 2–1 · 96–4–0
29. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Rostov II 2–1 Kyzyltash
30. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Rostov II win: 53% at kick-off, 96% now
31. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Rostov II win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 89%)
32. FTFULL TIME Rostov II 2–1 Kyzyltash
33. FTRostov II 2–1 Kyzyltash · Rostov II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.