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Rostov II v Druzhba
Second League - Group 1 · SAT 10 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Rostov II win at 51%.
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Rostov II 51% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–26–24
- 2′KICK-OFF Rostov II v Druzhba
- 44′We said Rostov II at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–39–21
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Rostov II win: 51% at kick-off, 39% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Rostov II 0–0 Druzhba
- 48′SECOND HALF Rostov II 0–0 Druzhba
- 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Rostov II win 36%)
- 68′🟥 RED CARD · 67' Rostov II
- FTFULL TIME Rostov II 0–0 Druzhba
- FTRostov II 0–0 Druzhba · Rostov II win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 14:00
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Rostov II a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.0.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rostov II win | 51% | 42% | +8 |
| Draw | 25% | 30% | −5 |
| Druzhba win | 24% | 28% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 51% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 56% | −8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 74% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 31% | −6 |
| Rostov II or draw | 76% | 72% | +4 |
| Rostov II clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
| Druzhba clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2024Form · last six in Second League - Group 1
ROSTOV II
DRUZHBA
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sevastopol | 25 | +26 | 60 |
| 2 |  Shahter Taganrog | 26 | +23 | 53 |
| 3 | Rostov II | 25 | +25 | 50 |
| 4 |  Pobeda | 24 | +14 | 42 |
| 5 |  Kyzyltash | 25 | +9 | 40 |
| 6 |  Rubin Yalta | 25 | +9 | 40 |
| 7 | Druzhba | 25 | +5 | 39 |
| 8 |  Nart Cherkessk | 25 | +12 | 38 |
| 9 |  Spartak Nalchik | 24 | +7 | 34 |
| 10 |  Lugansk | 25 | −1 | 30 |
| 11 |  Astrakhan | 25 | −8 | 27 |
| 12 |  Izberbash | 26 | −42 | 23 |
| 13 |  Angust Nazran | 24 | −16 | 19 |
| 14 |  PSK Dinskaya | 12 | −3 | 17 |
| 15 |  Dynamo Makhachkala II | 26 | −23 | 17 |
| 16 |  FK Chayka 2 | 26 | −37 | 17 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.