Lugansk v Rubin Yalta

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Rubin Yalta win at 38%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Rubin Yalta was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 37–25–38
3. 1′KICK-OFF Lugansk v Rubin Yalta
4. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Rubin Yalta win 34%)
5. 45′HALF-TIME Lugansk 0–0 Rubin Yalta
6. 46′SECOND HALF Lugansk 0–0 Rubin Yalta
7. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Rubin Yalta win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
8. 55′We expected about 2.8 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 28–44–28
9. 59′We said Rubin Yalta at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 0–0 · 26–47–26
10. 64′We said Rubin Yalta at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–52–24
11. 70′A goal for Rubin Yalta on 69′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 3–17–80
12. 70′We published Rubin Yalta at 38%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
13. 70′⚽ GOAL · 69' Lugansk 0–1 Rubin Yalta
14. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Rubin Yalta win: 38% at kick-off, 80% now
15. 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Rubin Yalta win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 58%)
16. 77′V. Purak scores for Rubin Yalta on 70′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 2–14–85
17. 77′We published Rubin Yalta at 38%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 2–14–85
18. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Rubin Yalta win: 38% at kick-off, 88% now
19. 82′We published Rubin Yalta at 38%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–1 · 1–10–90
20. 89′We published Rubin Yalta at 38%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
21. FTFULL TIME Lugansk 0–1 Rubin Yalta
22. FTLugansk 0–1 Rubin Yalta · Rubin Yalta win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.