Home › Football › Second League A - Division A Silver › Torpedo Miass v Dinamo Stavropol

Torpedo Miass v Dinamo Stavropol

Torpedo Miass

1–0Full time

Dinamo Stavropol

Second League A - Division A Silver · SAT 10 OCT · Trud stadium

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 13:08

Torpedo Miass 1–0 Dinamo Stavropol TORPEDO MIASS WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Torpedo Miass win~~56%

~~The market said~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.297

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.370

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 19 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Torpedo Miass win at 56%.
1′Much as we predicted: Torpedo Miass was 56% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 56–25–19
1′KICK-OFF Torpedo Miass v Dinamo Stavropol
41′We said Torpedo Miass at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–38–18
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Torpedo Miass win: 56% at kick-off, 44% now
45′HALF-TIME Torpedo Miass 0–0 Dinamo Stavropol
46′SECOND HALF Torpedo Miass 0–0 Dinamo Stavropol
55′We said Torpedo Miass at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 37%. 0–0 · 37–46–16
55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Torpedo Miass win 37%)
55′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Dinamo Stavropol
56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Torpedo Miass 1–0 Dinamo Stavropol
64′Torpedo Miass ahead on 56′ through V. Palkin. 1–0. 1–0 · 86–13–2
64′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Dinamo Stavropol · On: G. Shulga · Off: A. Karasev
64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Torpedo Miass win: 56% at kick-off, 86% now
64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Torpedo Miass win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Draw 13%)
71′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Torpedo Miass
76′🟨 YELLOW · 70' I. Kotelnikov · Torpedo Miass
77′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Dinamo Stavropol · On: D. Kratkov · Off: N. Kashtan
78′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Dinamo Stavropol · On: D. Kratkov · Off: N. Kashtan
84′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Torpedo Miass · On: E. Ibragimov · Off: I. Kotelnikov
85′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Dinamo Stavropol · On: D. Shilov · Off: A. Panaev
85′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Torpedo Miass · On: E. Ibragimov · Off: I. Kotelnikov
86′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Torpedo Miass · On: E. Ibragimov · Off: I. Kotelnikov
FTFULL TIME Torpedo Miass 1–0 Dinamo Stavropol
FTTorpedo Miass 1–0 Dinamo Stavropol · Torpedo Miass win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Torpedo Miass win56%

Draw25%

Dinamo Stavropol win19%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 10:00

Venue · Trud stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Torpedo Miass

Formation not confirmed

2 A. Balakhonov

4 N. Baksheev

5 E. Lopatko

8 V. Palkin

17 I. Kotelnikov

23 D. Prutov

44 Y. Tarasov

46 M. Tarasov

50 D. Yugaldin

61 S. Stolbov

77 V. Bezzubov

Coach · Vladimir Fedorov

Substitutes

6 · E. Ibragimov

11 · R. Anferov

19 · M. Slobodchikov

21 · V. Uljanovskiy

39 · A. Shvedov

69 · M. Yakimenko

90 · E. Kilin

Dinamo Stavropol

Formation not confirmed

1 V. Guskov

2 M. Yagyaev

17 A. Panaev

18 R. Garaev

22 Y. Grigoryan

27 A. Gyulushahyan

32 A. Karasev

70 A. Dzhumaev

86 N. Kashtan

88 A. Byazrov

93 B. Akhyadov

Coach · Ashamaz Shakov

Substitutes

6 · M. Yshyk

11 · M. Alimov

12 · I. Ganyuk

23 · G. Shulga

26 · D. Kratkov

48 · D. Shilov

99 · D. Rubanov

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Torpedo Miass

Formation not confirmed

2 A. Balakhonov

4 N. Baksheev

5 E. Lopatko

8 V. Palkin

17 I. Kotelnikov

23 D. Prutov

44 Y. Tarasov

46 M. Tarasov

50 D. Yugaldin

61 S. Stolbov

77 V. Bezzubov

Coach · Vladimir Fedorov

Substitutes

6 · E. Ibragimov

11 · R. Anferov

19 · M. Slobodchikov

21 · V. Uljanovskiy

39 · A. Shvedov

69 · M. Yakimenko

90 · E. Kilin

Dinamo Stavropol

Formation not confirmed

1 V. Guskov

2 M. Yagyaev

17 A. Panaev

18 R. Garaev

22 Y. Grigoryan

27 A. Gyulushahyan

32 A. Karasev

70 A. Dzhumaev

86 N. Kashtan

88 A. Byazrov

93 B. Akhyadov

Coach · Ashamaz Shakov

Substitutes

6 · M. Yshyk

11 · M. Alimov

12 · I. Ganyuk

23 · G. Shulga

26 · D. Kratkov

48 · D. Shilov

99 · D. Rubanov

Our number · torpedo miass winPublished 10 Oct 10:08

56% The market50%

Us56%

~~Market~~50%

We make Torpedo Miass a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–0.8.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Torpedo Miass win	56%	50%	+5
Draw	25%	26%	0
Dinamo Stavropol win	19%	24%	−5
Over 2.5 goals	45%	60%	−15
Both teams to score	46%	61%	−15
Over 1.5 goals	71%	80%	−9
Over 3.5 goals	24%	39%	−15
Torpedo Miass or draw	81%	76%	+5
Torpedo Miass clean sheet	44%	–	–
Dinamo Stavropol clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.3%

0123450 9.1 6.7 3.0 1 13.3 11.8 4.8 2 11.1 9.2 3.9 3 6.1 5.0 2.1 4 2.6 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Torpedo Miass down, Dinamo Stavropol across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 360 Second League A - Division A Silver matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Second League A - Division A Silver matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.1% of games this season, across 35 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Torpedo Miass at home: 2.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Dinamo Stavropol away: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.64 goals for Torpedo Miass, 0.84 for Dinamo Stavropol. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~DIN 1–2 TOR

Form · last six in Second League A - Division A Silver

TORPEDO MIASS

WWLWWW5–0 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 3–1 · 2–0 · 2–1

DINAMO STAVROPOL

LDLWLL1–5 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Zenit 2	10	+22	26
2	Amkar	10	+10	19
3	Tyumen	11	+7	19
4	Torpedo Miass	10	+3	15
5	Dinamo Stavropol	9	−8	8
6	Irtysh Omsk	10	−13	7
7	Dinamo Moskva II	10	−21	7