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Dinamo Stavropol v Irtysh Omsk
Dinamo Stavropol
Irtysh OmskSecond League A - Division A Silver · WED 21 OCT · Essentuki Arena
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Dinamo Stavropol win at 52%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Dinamo Stavropol was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 52–25–23
- 1′KICK-OFF Dinamo Stavropol v Irtysh Omsk
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Dinamo Stavropol win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
- 44′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Dinamo Stavropol
- 45′We said Dinamo Stavropol at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 0–0 · 40–39–21
- 45′HALF-TIME Dinamo Stavropol 0–0 Irtysh Omsk
- 46′SECOND HALF Dinamo Stavropol 0–0 Irtysh Omsk
- 47′We said Dinamo Stavropol at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–40–21
- 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Dinamo Stavropol win 40%)
- 55′We expected about 2.7 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 36–45–19
- 57′We said Dinamo Stavropol at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–47–19
- 58′A goal for Dinamo Stavropol on 58′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 82–15–3
- 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Dinamo Stavropol 1–0 Irtysh Omsk
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Dinamo Stavropol win: 52% at kick-off, 82% now
- 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Dinamo Stavropol win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 48%)
- 59′We published Dinamo Stavropol at 52%. Our model now makes it 82%. 1–0 · 82–15–3
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Dinamo Stavropol · On: V. Tskhadiashvili · Off: Y. Grigoryan
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Dinamo Stavropol · On: D. Shilov · Off: B. Akhyadov
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Dinamo Stavropol · On: D. Rubanov · Off: N. Kashtan
- 68′We published Dinamo Stavropol at 52%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
- 76′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Irtysh Omsk
- 77′Dinamo Stavropol score on 77′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Dinamo Stavropol 2–0 Irtysh Omsk
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Dinamo Stavropol win: 52% at kick-off, 99% now
- 78′We published Dinamo Stavropol at 52%. Our model now makes it 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 78′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Dinamo Stavropol · On: M. Alimov · Off: A. Gyulushahyan
- 80′We published Dinamo Stavropol at 52%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 81′Irtysh Omsk find the net on 81′. 2–1. 2–1 · 92–8–0
- 81′We published Dinamo Stavropol at 52%. Our model now makes it 92%. 2–1 · 92–8–0
- 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Dinamo Stavropol 2–1 Irtysh Omsk
- 83′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 93–6–0
- 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Dinamo Stavropol
- 92′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Dinamo Stavropol · On: A. Karasev · Off: A. Dzhumaev
- FTFULL TIME Dinamo Stavropol 2–1 Irtysh Omsk
- FTDinamo Stavropol 2–1 Irtysh Omsk · Dinamo Stavropol win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Dinamo Stavropol are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Dinamo Stavropol 52%, draw 25%, Irtysh Omsk 23%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 09:32 · locked at kick-off
Dinamo Stavropol win52%
Irtysh Omsk win23%Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 12:00
RoundDivision A Silver · matchday 14
VenueEssentuki Arena
Match timeline
All events
Dinamo StavropolMIN
Irtysh OmskEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Dinamo Stavropol
Irtysh Omsk
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Dinamo Stavropol
Irtysh Omsk
Last match: 17 Oct · Second League A - Division A Silver
Last match: 17 Oct · Second League A - Division A Silver
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Dinamo Stavropol
Formation not confirmed
13 M. Matyusha
6 M. Yshyk
18 R. Garaev
88 A. Byazrov
22 Y. Grigoryan
2 M. Yagyaev
17 A. Panaev
86 N. Kashtan
70 A. Dzhumaev
27 A. Gyulushahyan
93 B. Akhyadov
Coach · Ashamaz Shakov
Substitutes
1 · V. Guskov
12 · I. Ganyuk
19 · V. Rymar
32 · A. Karasev
73 · L. Bogachev
47 · T. Musaev
48 · D. Shilov
11 · M. Alimov
20 · R. Trefilov
4 · V. Tskhadiashvili
99 · D. Rubanov
Irtysh Omsk
Formation not confirmed
60 V. Poletaev
23 A. Kulakov
15 M. Zhustjev
12 A. Antonov
55 K. Shokhin
8 A. Markosyan
99 P. Makarov
30 P. Razdymakha
11 K. Kovalchuk
10 R. Yanushkovskiy
7 A. Razborov
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · N. Elistratov
24 · P. Razdymakha
25 · S. Rusyaev
77 · G. Galstyan
27 · D. Gribanov
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Dinamo Stavropol
Formation not confirmed
13 M. Matyusha
6 M. Yshyk
18 R. Garaev
88 A. Byazrov
22 Y. Grigoryan
2 M. Yagyaev
17 A. Panaev
86 N. Kashtan
70 A. Dzhumaev
27 A. Gyulushahyan
93 B. Akhyadov
Coach · Ashamaz Shakov
Substitutes
1 · V. Guskov
12 · I. Ganyuk
19 · V. Rymar
32 · A. Karasev
73 · L. Bogachev
47 · T. Musaev
48 · D. Shilov
11 · M. Alimov
20 · R. Trefilov
4 · V. Tskhadiashvili
99 · D. Rubanov
Irtysh Omsk
Formation not confirmed
60 V. Poletaev
23 A. Kulakov
15 M. Zhustjev
12 A. Antonov
55 K. Shokhin
8 A. Markosyan
99 P. Makarov
30 P. Razdymakha
11 K. Kovalchuk
10 R. Yanushkovskiy
7 A. Razborov
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · N. Elistratov
24 · P. Razdymakha
25 · S. Rusyaev
77 · G. Galstyan
27 · D. Gribanov
We make Dinamo Stavropol a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Stavropol win | 52% | 49% | +3 |
| Draw | 25% | 27% | −2 |
| Irtysh Omsk win | 23% | 24% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 47% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 50% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 70% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 27% | +1 |
| Dinamo Stavropol or draw | 77% | 76% | +1 |
| Dinamo Stavropol clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
| Irtysh Omsk clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Second League A - Division A Silver this season · since 5 Sept
DINAMO STAVROPOL
IRTYSH OMSK
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit 2 | 12 | +27 | 32 |
| 2 | Amkar | 12 | +10 | 22 |
| 3 | Tyumen | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 4 | Torpedo Miass | 12 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 | Dinamo Stavropol | 12 | −10 | 11 |
| 6 | Dinamo Moskva II | 12 | −22 | 8 |
| 7 | Irtysh Omsk | 12 | −17 | 7 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Zenit 2
Amkar
Tyumen
Torpedo Miass
Dinamo Moskva II