Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Second League A - Division A Silver › Dinamo Moskva II v Torpedo Miass

Back
Russia flag

Dinamo Moskva II v Torpedo Miass

Dinamo Moskva II
2–2Full time
Torpedo Miass

Second League A - Division A Silver · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 14:49
Dinamo Moskva II 2–2 Torpedo Miass TORPEDO MIASS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Torpedo Miass win44%
The market said56%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.849
The market’s Brier score1.044

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay19 notes · 32 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Torpedo Miass win at 44%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Torpedo Miass was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 31–25–44
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Dinamo Moskva II v Torpedo Miass
  4. 6′A goal for Torpedo Miass on 6′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 13–18–69
  5. 6′⚽ GOAL · 6' Dinamo Moskva II 0–1 Torpedo Miass
  6. 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 6' Torpedo Miass win: 44% at kick-off, 69% now
  7. 7′We published Torpedo Miass at 44%. Our model now makes it 69%. 0–1 · 13–18–69
  8. 11′We published Torpedo Miass at 44%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–1 · 12–18–70
  9. 31′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 10–19–71
  10. 34′Torpedo Miass score on 34′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 2–7–91
  11. 34′We published Torpedo Miass at 44%. Our model now makes it 91%. 0–2 · 2–7–91
  12. 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Dinamo Moskva II 0–2 Torpedo Miass
  13. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Torpedo Miass win: 44% at kick-off, 91% now
  14. 40′SUBSTITUTION · 39' Dinamo Moskva II · On: I. Gubarevich · Off: V. Ivanov
  15. 40′SUBSTITUTION · 39' Dinamo Moskva II · On: A. Shpinkov · Off: N. Ranchenkov
  16. 45′HALF-TIME Dinamo Moskva II 0–2 Torpedo Miass
  17. 46′SECOND HALF Dinamo Moskva II 0–2 Torpedo Miass
  18. 49′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Dinamo Moskva II
  19. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Torpedo Miass win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
  20. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Torpedo Miass
  21. 55′We published Torpedo Miass at 44%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–2 · 1–5–95
  22. 56′Dinamo Moskva II find the net on 55′. 1–2. 1–2 · 5–19–76
  23. 56′We published Torpedo Miass at 44%. Our model now makes it 76%. 1–2 · 5–19–76
  24. 56′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 5–19–76
  25. 56′⚽ GOAL · 55' Dinamo Moskva II 1–2 Torpedo Miass
  26. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Torpedo Miass win: 44% at kick-off, 76% now
  27. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Dinamo Moskva II · On: D. Zavarzin · Off: G. Tikhomirov
  28. 61′A goal for Dinamo Moskva II on 61′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 22–49–29
  29. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Dinamo Moskva II 2–2 Torpedo Miass
  30. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Torpedo Miass win: 44% at kick-off, 29% now
  31. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Torpedo Miass win 29%)
  32. 62′We said Torpedo Miass at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 2–2 · 22–49–28
  33. 62′4 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 22–49–28
  34. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Torpedo Miass · On: A. Balakhonov · Off: M. Yakimenko
  35. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Torpedo Miass · On: D. Prutov · Off: M. Slobodchikov
  36. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Torpedo Miass
  37. 69′We said Torpedo Miass at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 19–57–24
  38. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Torpedo Miass win: 44% at kick-off, 24% now
  39. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Torpedo Miass
  40. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Torpedo Miass · On: E. Kilin · Off: V. Uljanovskiy
  41. 71′🟨 YELLOW · 36' V. Uljanovskiy · Torpedo Miass
  42. 75′We said Torpedo Miass at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 15–66–19
  43. 80′We said Torpedo Miass at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 11–74–14
  44. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Torpedo Miass win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
  45. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Dinamo Moskva II
  46. 84′We said Torpedo Miass at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 7–83–9
  47. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Dinamo Moskva II · On: A. Mikhaylenko · Off: A. Abdulkhalikov
  48. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Dinamo Moskva II · On: D. Cherkasov · Off: G. Khalilulaev
  49. 91′We said Torpedo Miass at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 3–92–4
  50. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Torpedo Miass win: 44% at kick-off, 4% now
  51. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Dinamo Moskva II
  52. FTFULL TIME Dinamo Moskva II 2–2 Torpedo Miass
  53. FTDinamo Moskva II 2–2 Torpedo Miass · Torpedo Miass win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Torpedo Miass are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dinamo Moskva II 31%, draw 25%, Torpedo Miass 44%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Dinamo Moskva II v Torpedo MiassBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Dinamo Moskva II win31%
Draw25%
Torpedo Miass win44%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00

RoundDivision A Silver · matchday 14

Line-ups

Dinamo Moskva II

Torpedo Miass

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dinamo Moskva II

Torpedo Miass

3Days since last match7

Last match: 14 Oct · Second League A - Division A Silver

Last match: 10 Oct · Second League A - Division A Silver

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Torpedo Miass11+418
7Dinamo Moskva II11−227

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Dinamo Moskva II

Formation not confirmed

37 V. Letechin

53 V. Kudryavtsev

63 G. Khalilulaev

65 V. Ivanov

68 G. Tikhomirov

71 A. Zmeev

76 N. Ranchenkov

81 D. Popkov

83 T. Korchagin

85 A. Temirov

90 A. Abdulkhalikov

Coach · –

Substitutes

42 · A. Shpinkov

46 · R. Bosov

48 · D. Zavarzin

62 · I. Dashdemirov

64 · V. Yarosh

67 · D. Cherkasov

72 · I. Zhunaev

73 · E. Lemkin

78 · D. Avramenko

84 · A. Sorokin

87 · I. Gubarevich

94 · A. Mikhaylenko

Torpedo Miass

Formation not confirmed

4 N. Baksheev

5 E. Lopatko

6 E. Ibragimov

8 V. Palkin

19 M. Slobodchikov

21 V. Uljanovskiy

44 Y. Tarasov

46 M. Tarasov

50 D. Yugaldin

69 M. Yakimenko

77 V. Bezzubov

Coach · Vladimir Fedorov

Substitutes

2 · A. Balakhonov

11 · R. Anferov

23 · D. Prutov

39 · A. Shvedov

61 · S. Stolbov

90 · E. Kilin

Our number · torpedo miass winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 15 Oct 04:56 · locked at kick-off
44% The market56%
Us44%
Market56%

We make Torpedo Miass a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 56%. We are 12 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.6.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Dinamo Moskva II v Torpedo Miass1.29 – 1.59
Form · last six in Second League A - Division A Silver this season · since 23 AugW0 D1 L5 · W5 D0 L1
Table places · points 7 v 187 v 4
The market · Torpedo Miass win56% · ours 44%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%50%60%70%80% 11 OCT 04:0517 OCT 11:45
Our probability · Torpedo Miass win The market, margin stripped

Published at 43%, 44% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 56% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Dinamo Moskva II win31%25%+6
Draw25%19%+6
Torpedo Miass win44%56%−12
Over 2.5 goals55%65%−10
Both teams to score57%61%−4
Over 1.5 goals78%81%−3
Over 3.5 goals33%44%−11
Dinamo Moskva II or draw56%44%+12
Dinamo Moskva II clean sheet21%––
Torpedo Miass clean sheet28%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%
0123450 6.2 8.7 7.1 3.8 1 7.0 11.7 8.9 4.7 2 4.7 7.3 5.7 3.0 3 2.1 3.2 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Dinamo Moskva II down, Torpedo Miass across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsTOR 0–2 DIN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League A - Division A Silver this season · since 23 Aug

DINAMO MOSKVA II

DLLLLL2–2 · 2–5 · 0–3 · 0–4 · 0–4 · 2–3

TORPEDO MIASS

WLWWWW2–1 · 0–2 · 3–1 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Zenit 211+2529
2Tyumen12+822
3Amkar11+719
4Torpedo Miass11+418
5Dinamo Stavropol11−811
6Irtysh Omsk11−147
7Dinamo Moskva II11−227

The competition's standings before kick-off.