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Dinamo Moskva II v Torpedo Miass
Dinamo Moskva II
Torpedo MiassSecond League A - Division A Silver · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Torpedo Miass win at 44%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Torpedo Miass was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 31–25–44
- 1′KICK-OFF Dinamo Moskva II v Torpedo Miass
- 6′A goal for Torpedo Miass on 6′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 13–18–69
- 6′⚽ GOAL · 6' Dinamo Moskva II 0–1 Torpedo Miass
- 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 6' Torpedo Miass win: 44% at kick-off, 69% now
- 7′We published Torpedo Miass at 44%. Our model now makes it 69%. 0–1 · 13–18–69
- 11′We published Torpedo Miass at 44%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–1 · 12–18–70
- 31′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 10–19–71
- 34′Torpedo Miass score on 34′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 2–7–91
- 34′We published Torpedo Miass at 44%. Our model now makes it 91%. 0–2 · 2–7–91
- 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Dinamo Moskva II 0–2 Torpedo Miass
- 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Torpedo Miass win: 44% at kick-off, 91% now
- 40′SUBSTITUTION · 39' Dinamo Moskva II · On: I. Gubarevich · Off: V. Ivanov
- 40′SUBSTITUTION · 39' Dinamo Moskva II · On: A. Shpinkov · Off: N. Ranchenkov
- 45′HALF-TIME Dinamo Moskva II 0–2 Torpedo Miass
- 46′SECOND HALF Dinamo Moskva II 0–2 Torpedo Miass
- 49′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Dinamo Moskva II
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Torpedo Miass win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
- 52′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Torpedo Miass
- 55′We published Torpedo Miass at 44%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–2 · 1–5–95
- 56′Dinamo Moskva II find the net on 55′. 1–2. 1–2 · 5–19–76
- 56′We published Torpedo Miass at 44%. Our model now makes it 76%. 1–2 · 5–19–76
- 56′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 5–19–76
- 56′⚽ GOAL · 55' Dinamo Moskva II 1–2 Torpedo Miass
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Torpedo Miass win: 44% at kick-off, 76% now
- 57′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Dinamo Moskva II · On: D. Zavarzin · Off: G. Tikhomirov
- 61′A goal for Dinamo Moskva II on 61′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 22–49–29
- 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Dinamo Moskva II 2–2 Torpedo Miass
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Torpedo Miass win: 44% at kick-off, 29% now
- 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Torpedo Miass win 29%)
- 62′We said Torpedo Miass at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 2–2 · 22–49–28
- 62′4 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 22–49–28
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Torpedo Miass · On: A. Balakhonov · Off: M. Yakimenko
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Torpedo Miass · On: D. Prutov · Off: M. Slobodchikov
- 66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Torpedo Miass
- 69′We said Torpedo Miass at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 19–57–24
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Torpedo Miass win: 44% at kick-off, 24% now
- 70′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Torpedo Miass
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Torpedo Miass · On: E. Kilin · Off: V. Uljanovskiy
- 71′🟨 YELLOW · 36' V. Uljanovskiy · Torpedo Miass
- 75′We said Torpedo Miass at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 15–66–19
- 80′We said Torpedo Miass at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 11–74–14
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Torpedo Miass win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
- 83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Dinamo Moskva II
- 84′We said Torpedo Miass at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 7–83–9
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Dinamo Moskva II · On: A. Mikhaylenko · Off: A. Abdulkhalikov
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Dinamo Moskva II · On: D. Cherkasov · Off: G. Khalilulaev
- 91′We said Torpedo Miass at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 3–92–4
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Torpedo Miass win: 44% at kick-off, 4% now
- 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Dinamo Moskva II
- FTFULL TIME Dinamo Moskva II 2–2 Torpedo Miass
- FTDinamo Moskva II 2–2 Torpedo Miass · Torpedo Miass win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassTorpedo Miass are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Dinamo Moskva II 31%, draw 25%, Torpedo Miass 44%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 57%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Dinamo Moskva II win31%
Torpedo Miass win44%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00
RoundDivision A Silver · matchday 14
Match timeline
All events
Dinamo Moskva IIMIN
Torpedo MiassEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Dinamo Moskva II
Torpedo Miass
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Dinamo Moskva II
Torpedo Miass
Last match: 14 Oct · Second League A - Division A Silver
Last match: 10 Oct · Second League A - Division A Silver
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Dinamo Moskva II
Formation not confirmed
37 V. Letechin
53 V. Kudryavtsev
63 G. Khalilulaev
65 V. Ivanov
68 G. Tikhomirov
71 A. Zmeev
76 N. Ranchenkov
81 D. Popkov
83 T. Korchagin
85 A. Temirov
90 A. Abdulkhalikov
Coach · –
Substitutes
42 · A. Shpinkov
46 · R. Bosov
48 · D. Zavarzin
62 · I. Dashdemirov
64 · V. Yarosh
67 · D. Cherkasov
72 · I. Zhunaev
73 · E. Lemkin
78 · D. Avramenko
84 · A. Sorokin
87 · I. Gubarevich
94 · A. Mikhaylenko
Torpedo Miass
Formation not confirmed
4 N. Baksheev
5 E. Lopatko
6 E. Ibragimov
8 V. Palkin
19 M. Slobodchikov
21 V. Uljanovskiy
44 Y. Tarasov
46 M. Tarasov
50 D. Yugaldin
69 M. Yakimenko
77 V. Bezzubov
Coach · Vladimir Fedorov
Substitutes
2 · A. Balakhonov
11 · R. Anferov
23 · D. Prutov
39 · A. Shvedov
61 · S. Stolbov
90 · E. Kilin
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Dinamo Moskva II
Formation not confirmed
37 V. Letechin
53 V. Kudryavtsev
63 G. Khalilulaev
65 V. Ivanov
68 G. Tikhomirov
71 A. Zmeev
76 N. Ranchenkov
81 D. Popkov
83 T. Korchagin
85 A. Temirov
90 A. Abdulkhalikov
Coach · –
Substitutes
42 · A. Shpinkov
46 · R. Bosov
48 · D. Zavarzin
62 · I. Dashdemirov
64 · V. Yarosh
67 · D. Cherkasov
72 · I. Zhunaev
73 · E. Lemkin
78 · D. Avramenko
84 · A. Sorokin
87 · I. Gubarevich
94 · A. Mikhaylenko
Torpedo Miass
Formation not confirmed
4 N. Baksheev
5 E. Lopatko
6 E. Ibragimov
8 V. Palkin
19 M. Slobodchikov
21 V. Uljanovskiy
44 Y. Tarasov
46 M. Tarasov
50 D. Yugaldin
69 M. Yakimenko
77 V. Bezzubov
Coach · Vladimir Fedorov
Substitutes
2 · A. Balakhonov
11 · R. Anferov
23 · D. Prutov
39 · A. Shvedov
61 · S. Stolbov
90 · E. Kilin
We make Torpedo Miass a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 56%. We are 12 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 43%, 44% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 56% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Moskva II win | 31% | 25% | +6 |
| Draw | 25% | 19% | +6 |
| Torpedo Miass win | 44% | 56% | −12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 65% | −10 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 61% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 81% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 44% | −11 |
| Dinamo Moskva II or draw | 56% | 44% | +12 |
| Dinamo Moskva II clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
| Torpedo Miass clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Second League A - Division A Silver this season · since 23 Aug
DINAMO MOSKVA II
TORPEDO MIASS
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit 2 | 11 | +25 | 29 |
| 2 | Tyumen | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 3 | Amkar | 11 | +7 | 19 |
| 4 | Torpedo Miass | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 | Dinamo Stavropol | 11 | −8 | 11 |
| 6 | Irtysh Omsk | 11 | −14 | 7 |
| 7 | Dinamo Moskva II | 11 | −22 | 7 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Zenit 2
Tyumen
Amkar
Dinamo Stavropol
Irtysh Omsk