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Dinamo Moskva II v Dinamo Stavropol

Dinamo Moskva II
2–3Full time
Dinamo Stavropol

Second League A - Division A Silver · WED 14 OCT

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 15:01
Dinamo Moskva II 2–3 Dinamo Stavropol DINAMO MOSKVA II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Dinamo Moskva II win43%
The market said31%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.704
The market’s Brier score0.526

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay18 notes · 39 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Dinamo Moskva II win at 43%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Dinamo Moskva II was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–25–32
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Dinamo Moskva II v Dinamo Stavropol
  4. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Dinamo Moskva II 1–0 Dinamo Stavropol
  5. 19′A goal for Dinamo Moskva II on 18′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 69–19–12
  6. 19′We published Dinamo Moskva II at 43%. Our model now makes it 69%. 1–0 · 69–19–12
  7. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Dinamo Moskva II win: 43% at kick-off, 69% now
  8. 21′21′ and it is 1–1: Dinamo Stavropol have scored. 1–1 · 40–29–31
  9. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Dinamo Moskva II 1–1 Dinamo Stavropol
  10. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Dinamo Moskva II win: 43% at kick-off, 40% now
  11. 27′20′ and it is 1–1: D. Shilov on the scoresheet for Dinamo Stavropol. 1–1 · 39–30–31
  12. 32′Dinamo Stavropol find the net on 32′. 1–2. 1–2 · 15–23–62
  13. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Dinamo Moskva II 1–2 Dinamo Stavropol
  14. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Dinamo Moskva II win: 43% at kick-off, 15% now
  15. 32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Dinamo Stavropol win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Dinamo Moskva II win 15%)
  16. 33′We said Dinamo Moskva II at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 1–2 · 15–23–62
  17. 34′We said Dinamo Moskva II at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–23–62
  18. 35′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 14–24–62
  19. 38′Dinamo Stavropol ahead on 33′ through N. Kashtan. 1–2. 1–2 · 13–24–63
  20. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Dinamo Moskva II win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
  21. 41′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Dinamo Stavropol
  22. 44′🟨 YELLOW · 41' B. Akhyadov · Dinamo Stavropol
  23. 45′HALF-TIME Dinamo Moskva II 1–2 Dinamo Stavropol
  24. 46′SECOND HALF Dinamo Moskva II 1–2 Dinamo Stavropol
  25. 48′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Dinamo Stavropol
  26. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Dinamo Moskva II 2–2 Dinamo Stavropol
  27. 50′A goal for Dinamo Moskva II on 49′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 33–40–27
  28. 50′4 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 33–40–27
  29. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Dinamo Moskva II win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
  30. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Dinamo Stavropol win 27%)
  31. 50′🟨 YELLOW · 47' M. Yshyk · Dinamo Stavropol
  32. 51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Dinamo Moskva II
  33. 55′We said Dinamo Moskva II at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 2–2 · 31–43–25
  34. 58′🟨 YELLOW · 53' T. Korchagin · Dinamo Moskva II
  35. 60′We said Dinamo Moskva II at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–47–24
  36. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Dinamo Moskva II · On: I. Gubarevich · Off: N. Ranchenkov
  37. 69′We said Dinamo Moskva II at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–56–20
  38. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Dinamo Moskva II win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
  39. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Dinamo Stavropol · On: Y. Grigoryan · Off: M. Alimov
  40. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Dinamo Stavropol · On: A. Dzhumaev · Off: D. Shilov
  41. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Dinamo Stavropol · On: V. Tskhadiashvili · Off: A. Gyulushahyan
  42. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Dinamo Stavropol · On: D. Rubanov · Off: N. Kashtan
  43. 78′78′ and it is 2–3: Dinamo Stavropol have scored. 2–3 · 2–15–84
  44. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Dinamo Moskva II 2–3 Dinamo Stavropol
  45. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Dinamo Moskva II win: 43% at kick-off, 2% now
  46. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Dinamo Stavropol win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 15%)
  47. 79′We said Dinamo Moskva II at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 2–3 · 1–14–85
  48. 80′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 1–13–86
  49. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Dinamo Moskva II
  50. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Dinamo Moskva II · On: A. Mikhaylenko · Off: A. Zmeev
  51. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Dinamo Moskva II · On: A. Shpinkov · Off: G. Khalilulaev
  52. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Dinamo Moskva II · On: I. Zhunaev · Off: V. Ivanov
  53. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 86' D. Popkov · Dinamo Moskva II
  54. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Dinamo Moskva II · On: D. Zavarzin · Off: D. Popkov
  55. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 94' Dinamo Stavropol
  56. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 92' Dinamo Stavropol · On: V. Rymar · Off: M. Yshyk
  57. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 96' Dinamo Stavropol
  58. FTFULL TIME Dinamo Moskva II 2–3 Dinamo Stavropol
  59. FTDinamo Moskva II 2–3 Dinamo Stavropol · Dinamo Moskva II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Dinamo Moskva II v Dinamo StavropolBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 11:32 · locked at kick-off

Dinamo Moskva II win43%
Draw25%
Dinamo Stavropol win32%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 12:00

Line-ups

Dinamo Moskva II

Dinamo Stavropol

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Dinamo Moskva II

Dinamo Stavropol

17Days since last match4
0Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Dinamo Stavropol10-98
7Dinamo Moskva II10-217

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Dinamo Moskva II

Formation not confirmed

37 V. Letechin

53 V. Kudryavtsev

63 G. Khalilulaev

65 V. Ivanov

68 G. Tikhomirov

71 A. Zmeev

76 N. Ranchenkov

81 D. Popkov

83 T. Korchagin

85 A. Temirov

90 A. Abdulkhalikov

Coach · –

Substitutes

51 · R. Dzhioev

84 · A. Sorokin

46 · R. Bosov

67 · D. Cherkasov

42 · A. Shpinkov

73 · E. Lemkin

48 · D. Zavarzin

94 · A. Mikhaylenko

62 · I. Dashdemirov

64 · V. Yarosh

87 · I. Gubarevich

72 · I. Zhunaev

Dinamo Stavropol

Formation not confirmed

1 V. Guskov

6 M. Yshyk

88 A. Byazrov

2 M. Yagyaev

18 R. Garaev

86 N. Kashtan

17 A. Panaev

27 A. Gyulushahyan

48 D. Shilov

11 M. Alimov

93 B. Akhyadov

Coach · Ashamaz Shakov

Substitutes

12 · I. Ganyuk

19 · V. Rymar

22 · Y. Grigoryan

32 · A. Karasev

4 · V. Tskhadiashvili

26 · D. Kratkov

70 · A. Dzhumaev

99 · D. Rubanov

Our number · dinamo moskva ii winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 11:32 · locked at kick-off
43% The market31%
Us43%
Market31%

We make Dinamo Moskva II a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 31%. We are 12 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Dinamo Moskva II v Dinamo Stavropol1.59 – 1.35
Last six in Second League A - Division A SilverW1 D1 L4 · W1 D1 L4
Table places · points 7 v 87 v 5
The market · Dinamo Moskva II win31% · ours 43%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
25%30%35%40%45% 9 OCT 06:2011 OCT 17:29
Our probability · dinamo moskva ii win The market, margin stripped

Published at 42%, 43% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 31% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Dinamo Moskva II win43%31%+12
Draw25%28%−3
Dinamo Stavropol win32%41%−9
Over 2.5 goals56%47%+9
Both teams to score59%52%+6
Over 1.5 goals79%70%+9
Over 3.5 goals34%27%+7
Dinamo Moskva II or draw68%59%+9
Dinamo Moskva II clean sheet26%––
Dinamo Stavropol clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.5%
0123450 5.9 6.9 4.8 2.2 1 8.1 11.5 7.5 3.4 2 6.7 8.8 5.9 2.7 3 3.6 4.7 3.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Dinamo Moskva II down, Dinamo Stavropol across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2026
Goals a meeting3.67
Over 2.53 of 3
Both scored3 of 3
Last meetingsDIN 2–2 DIN · DIN 2–1 DIN · DIN 2–2 DIN

Form · last six in Second League A - Division A Silver

DINAMO MOSKVA II

WDLLLL1–0 · 2–2 · 2–5 · 0–3 · 0–4 · 0–4

DINAMO STAVROPOL

DLWLLL2–2 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Zenit 2112529
2Tyumen12822
3Amkar11719
4Torpedo Miass11418
5Dinamo Stavropol10-98
6Irtysh Omsk11-147
7Dinamo Moskva II10-217

The competition's standings.