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Amkar v Irtysh Omsk
Amkar
Irtysh OmskSecond League A - Division A Silver · SAT 17 OCT · Zvezda Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Amkar win at 65%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Amkar 65% before kick-off, 65% now. 0–0 · 65–20–15
- 1′KICK-OFF Amkar v Irtysh Omsk
- 5′Amkar find the net on 5′. 1–0. 1–0 · 85–10–5
- 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Amkar 1–0 Irtysh Omsk
- 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Amkar win: 65% at kick-off, 85% now
- 6′We said Amkar at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–10–5
- 7′🟨 YELLOW · 7' Irtysh Omsk
- 8′We said Amkar at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 1–0 · 84–10–5
- 19′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Irtysh Omsk
- 20′A goal for Amkar on 20′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 20′We said Amkar at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Amkar 2–0 Irtysh Omsk
- 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Amkar win: 65% at kick-off, 95% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Amkar 2–0 Irtysh Omsk
- 46′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 2–0 · 97–3–0
- 46′SECOND HALF Amkar 2–0 Irtysh Omsk
- 53′Amkar score on 53′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Amkar 3–0 Irtysh Omsk
- 54′We said Amkar at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 56′54′: M. Novikov on the scoresheet for Amkar, making it 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 60′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Irtysh Omsk
- 68′Irtysh Omsk find the net on 68′. 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 68′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Amkar 3–1 Irtysh Omsk
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Amkar · On: L. Tolkachev · Off: E. Tyukalov
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Amkar · On: K. Burykin · Off: D. Agureev
- 77′Irtysh Omsk are down to ten from 77′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 77′🟥 RED CARD · 77' Irtysh Omsk
- 81′🟨 YELLOW · 77' N. Zhustjev · Irtysh Omsk
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Amkar · On: A. Pridyuk · Off: D. Mikhaylov
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Amkar · On: N. Khvat · Off: M. Malozemov
- 92′A goal for Amkar on 90′ — 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 92′5 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Amkar 4–1 Irtysh Omsk
- FTFULL TIME Amkar 4–1 Irtysh Omsk
- FTAmkar 4–1 Irtysh Omsk · Amkar win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassAmkar are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Amkar 65%, draw 20%, Irtysh Omsk 15%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 54%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Amkar win65%
Irtysh Omsk win15%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00
RoundDivision A Silver · matchday 14
VenueZvezda Stadium
Match timeline
All events
AmkarMIN
Irtysh OmskEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Amkar
Irtysh Omsk
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Amkar
Irtysh Omsk
Last match: 10 Oct · Second League A - Division A Silver
Last match: 10 Oct · Second League A - Division A Silver
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Amkar
Formation not confirmed
57 E. Trifonov
4 E. Gallyamov
78 D. Kumsarov
15 K. Saraev
17 M. Malozemov
88 M. Novikov
23 D. Mikhaylov
11 V. Ignatenko
9 D. Agureev
10 D. Usov
7 E. Tyukalov
Coach · –
Substitutes
13 · V. Dolzhenko
3 · M. Smolnikov
28 · G. Zhilkin
45 · A. Pridyuk
6 · L. Tolkachev
8 · A. Matsukatov
19 · K. Popov
14 · D. Chushyalov
77 · E. Snegirev
89 · N. Khvat
97 · N. Goldobin
31 · K. Burykin
Irtysh Omsk
Formation not confirmed
60 V. Poletaev
9 N. Zhustjev
12 A. Antonov
15 M. Zhustjev
23 A. Kulakov
8 A. Markosyan
10 R. Yanushkovskiy
11 K. Kovalchuk
30 P. Razdymakha
55 K. Shokhin
7 A. Razborov
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · N. Elistratov
20 · I. Korobochkin
24 · P. Razdymakha
25 · S. Rusyaev
77 · G. Galstyan
99 · P. Makarov
27 · D. Gribanov
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Amkar
Formation not confirmed
57 E. Trifonov
4 E. Gallyamov
78 D. Kumsarov
15 K. Saraev
17 M. Malozemov
88 M. Novikov
23 D. Mikhaylov
11 V. Ignatenko
9 D. Agureev
10 D. Usov
7 E. Tyukalov
Coach · –
Substitutes
13 · V. Dolzhenko
3 · M. Smolnikov
28 · G. Zhilkin
45 · A. Pridyuk
6 · L. Tolkachev
8 · A. Matsukatov
19 · K. Popov
14 · D. Chushyalov
77 · E. Snegirev
89 · N. Khvat
97 · N. Goldobin
31 · K. Burykin
Irtysh Omsk
Formation not confirmed
60 V. Poletaev
9 N. Zhustjev
12 A. Antonov
15 M. Zhustjev
23 A. Kulakov
8 A. Markosyan
10 R. Yanushkovskiy
11 K. Kovalchuk
30 P. Razdymakha
55 K. Shokhin
7 A. Razborov
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · N. Elistratov
20 · I. Korobochkin
24 · P. Razdymakha
25 · S. Rusyaev
77 · G. Galstyan
99 · P. Makarov
27 · D. Gribanov
We make Amkar a 65% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 23 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amkar win | 65% | 42% | +23 |
| Draw | 20% | 18% | +2 |
| Irtysh Omsk win | 15% | 40% | −25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 73% | −13 |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 69% | −15 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 81% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 53% | −14 |
| Amkar or draw | 85% | 60% | +25 |
| Amkar clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
| Irtysh Omsk clean sheet | 12% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Second League A - Division A Silver this season · since 30 Aug
AMKAR
IRTYSH OMSK
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit 2 | 11 | +25 | 29 |
| 2 | Tyumen | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 3 | Amkar | 11 | +7 | 19 |
| 4 | Torpedo Miass | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 | Dinamo Stavropol | 11 | −8 | 11 |
| 6 | Irtysh Omsk | 11 | −14 | 7 |
| 7 | Dinamo Moskva II | 11 | −22 | 7 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Zenit 2
Tyumen
Torpedo Miass
Dinamo Stavropol
Dinamo Moskva II