Novosibirsk v FK Sokol Saratov

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Novosibirsk win at 54%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Novosibirsk 54% before kick-off, 54% now. 0–0 · 54–27–20
3. 1′KICK-OFF Novosibirsk v FK Sokol Saratov
4. 6′🟨 YELLOW · 6' FK Sokol Saratov
5. 11′🟨 YELLOW · 11' FK Sokol Saratov
6. 20′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Novosibirsk
7. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Novosibirsk win: 54% at kick-off, 44% now
8. 45′We said Novosibirsk at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 42%. 0–0 · 42–39–19
9. 45′HALF-TIME Novosibirsk 0–0 FK Sokol Saratov
10. 46′SECOND HALF Novosibirsk 0–0 FK Sokol Saratov
11. 51′We said Novosibirsk at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–42–18
12. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Novosibirsk win 38%)
13. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.7 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 37–45–18
14. 60′We said Novosibirsk at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–49–17
15. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Novosibirsk win: 54% at kick-off, 34% now
16. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' FK Sokol Saratov · On: A. Ukomskiy · Off: V. Shpitalnyi
17. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' FK Sokol Saratov · On: M. Mayorov · Off: D. Sasin Corrected
18. 67′We said Novosibirsk at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–56–15
19. 73′We said Novosibirsk at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–64–12
20. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Novosibirsk win: 54% at kick-off, 24% now
21. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Novosibirsk · On: A. Popushoy · Off: V. Vshivkov
22. 78′We said Novosibirsk at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 18–72–10
23. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Novosibirsk · On: M. Zhitnev · Off: A. Kobyalko
24. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Novosibirsk · On: V. Laptev · Off: B. Boldyrev
25. 82′We said Novosibirsk at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 13–80–7
26. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Novosibirsk win: 54% at kick-off, 13% now
27. 85′We said Novosibirsk at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–5
28. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' FK Sokol Saratov · On: I. Shilenok · Off: M. Mayorov
29. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 89' FK Sokol Saratov · On: V. Kostin · Off: V. Azarov
30. 92′We said Novosibirsk at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–94–2
31. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Novosibirsk win: 54% at kick-off, 4% now
32. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' Novosibirsk
33. FTFULL TIME Novosibirsk 0–0 FK Sokol Saratov
34. FTNovosibirsk 0–0 FK Sokol Saratov · Novosibirsk win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.