FK Sokol Saratov v Dinamo Vladivostok prediction · Second League A

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:46

FK Sokol Saratov 0–3 Dinamo Vladivostok FK SOKOL SARATOV WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said FK Sokol Saratov win~~34%

~~The market said~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.679

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.711

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 24 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said FK Sokol Saratov win at 34%.
2′Little has changed for our model: FK Sokol Saratov 34% before kick-off, 36% now. 0–0 · 36–30–34
23′Dinamo Vladivostok ahead on 19′ through E. Pesikov. 0–1. 0–1 · 11–22–67
24′A goal for Dinamo Vladivostok on 24′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 2–8–90
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' FK Sokol Saratov win: 34% at kick-off, 11% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' FK Sokol Saratov win: 34% at kick-off, 2% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' FK Sokol Saratov win: 34% at kick-off, 2% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' FK Sokol Saratov win: 34% at kick-off, 11% now
45′We said FK Sokol Saratov at 34%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 0–2 · 1–5–93
45′M. Mashnev scores for Dinamo Vladivostok on 24′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 1–5–93
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' FK Sokol Saratov win: 34% at kick-off, 11% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' FK Sokol Saratov win: 34% at kick-off, 2% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' FK Sokol Saratov win: 34% at kick-off, 1% now
45′HALF-TIME FK Sokol Saratov 0–2 Dinamo Vladivostok
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Dinamo Vladivostok win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was FK Sokol Saratov win 1%)
46′SECOND HALF FK Sokol Saratov 0–2 Dinamo Vladivostok
50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' FK Sokol Saratov · On: I. Shilenok · Off: E. Sysoev
51′SUBSTITUTION · 46' FK Sokol Saratov · On: I. Shilenok · Off: E. Sysoev
52′🟨 YELLOW · 52' FK Sokol Saratov
66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Dinamo Vladivostok
67′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Dinamo Vladivostok
72′SUBSTITUTION · 68' FK Sokol Saratov · On: A. Sinyak · Off: I. Klementyev
72′🟨 YELLOW · 72' FK Sokol Saratov
78′⚽ GOAL · 78' FK Sokol Saratov 0–3 Dinamo Vladivostok
86′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Dinamo Vladivostok · On: D. Kvekveskiri · Off: N. Sukhanov
86′SUBSTITUTION · 82' FK Sokol Saratov · On: V. Kostin · Off: V. Azarov
86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' FK Sokol Saratov · On: I. Vasilevich · Off: D. Sasin
89′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Dinamo Vladivostok
90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Dinamo Vladivostok
FTFULL TIME FK Sokol Saratov 0–3 Dinamo Vladivostok
FTFK Sokol Saratov 0–3 Dinamo Vladivostok · FK Sokol Saratov win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

FK Sokol Saratov win34%

Draw33%

Dinamo Vladivostok win33%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:00

VenueStadion Lokomotiv

Line-ups

FK Sokol Saratov

Dinamo Vladivostok

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

FK Sokol Saratov

Dinamo Vladivostok

7Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Dinamo Vladivostok	12	−1	14
9	FK Sokol Saratov	12	−9	9

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

FK Sokol Saratov

Formation not confirmed

4 I. Kalachev

7 A. Perchenok

9 V. Shpitalnyi

10 A. Mukhin

17 A. Anisimov

20 E. Sysoev

26 I. Klementyev

35 P. Kosarevskiy

77 D. Sasin

95 I. Gaponov

99 V. Azarov

Coach · Yevgeni Kharlachev

Substitutes

11 · A. Ukomskiy

15 · T. Kashintsev

18 · N. Miroshnichenko

21 · G. Donchenko

22 · V. Kostin

23 · I. Vasilevich

25 · M. Rakhmatulin

33 · N. Gloydman

51 · A. Sinyak

75 · M. Mayorov

88 · K. Shubin

92 · I. Shilenok

Dinamo Vladivostok

Formation not confirmed

5 N. Sergeev

6 A. Amelin

8 N. Sukhanov

9 E. Pesikov

10 N. Kasatkin

13 V. Pochivalin

16 A. Kulagin

19 M. Mashnev

36 A. Voropaev

47 T. Nikolaev

91 S. Gribov

Coach · –

Substitutes

7 · D. Rashchupkin

11 · D. Kvekveskiri

17 · D. Bolataev

23 · M. Pechenkin

44 · A. Yapryntsev

45 · A. Brovkin

71 · E. Gurenko

Our number · fk sokol saratov winPublished 11 Oct 13:14

34% The market39%

Us34%

~~Market~~39%

We make FK Sokol Saratov a 34% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.0.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · fk sokol saratov win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FK Sokol Saratov win	34%	39%	−5
Draw	33%	30%	+4
Dinamo Vladivostok win	33%	31%	+1
Over 2.5 goals	35%	49%	−14
Both teams to score	44%	54%	−11
Over 1.5 goals	64%	72%	−8
Over 3.5 goals	16%	29%	−12
FK Sokol Saratov or draw	67%	69%	−1
FK Sokol Saratov clean sheet	36%	–	–
Dinamo Vladivostok clean sheet	35%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 15.0%

0123450 14.1 11.0 6.6 2.3 1 11.2 15.0 6.9 2.4 2 6.9 7.1 3.7 3 2.5 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FK Sokol Saratov down, Dinamo Vladivostok across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 424 Second League A - Division A Gold matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Second League A - Division A Gold matches have gone over 2.5 in 35.5% of games this season, across 62 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 1.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FK Sokol Saratov at home: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Dinamo Vladivostok away: 0.67 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.07 goals for FK Sokol Saratov, 1.04 for Dinamo Vladivostok. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~DIN 1–0 FKS

Form · last six in Second League A - Division A Gold

FK SOKOL SARATOV

LDDLDL0–4 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 0–0 · 0–2

DINAMO VLADIVOSTOK

WDDLDD1–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Rodina Moskva II	12	+13	26
2	Dinamo Kirov	13	+4	24
3	Alaniya Vladikavkaz	13	+5	18
4	Novosibirsk	12	+3	18
5	Dinamo Bryansk	12	−4	16
6	Mashuk-KMV	13	0	15
7	Dinamo Vladivostok	12	−1	14
8	Volgar Astrakhan	12	−1	12
9	FK Sokol Saratov	12	−9	9
10	Kaluga	13	−10	7